Toluca vs Leon Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 02/04/2024

Toluca
03/02/24 - 23:00

Finished

4

-

1

Leon

Toluca - Leon

Mexico Liga MX - Estadio Nemesio Diez

5th Round

*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Top Toluca vs Leon Predictions & Betting Lines

In a second back-to-back Liga MX visit, Leon face Toluca on the 4th of February. The match is scheduled to be held at Estadio Nemesio Diez, but are the visitors truly doomed? Find out the answer in these Toluca vs Leon betting tips.

The key Liga MX predictions can be found on our website.

Under 0.5 First-Half Goals

  • Three of the last five Toluca vs Leon head-to-heads resulted in under 0.5 first-half goals.
  • We had only two goals in four of the last five head-to-heads in general.
  • Leon had the 4th-best defensive record in the Apertura campaign.

Draw

  • Half of the last 10 Toluca vs Leon matches resulted in draws.
  • 60.0% of the previous 5 meetings between these two had no winner.
  • Toluca shared the spoils in two of their three Clausura matches thus far.

Free Toluca vs Leon H2H Stats & Match Facts

In this section of our article, you’ll be able to find out more about the bookmaker’s top Toluca vs Leon odds and betting deals. Don’t miss out!

Head to Head

22/10/23

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Leon

Leon

Toluca

Toluca

1

0

29/01/23

Mexico Clausura Mexico

Toluca

Toluca

Leon

Leon

0

0

27/07/22

Mexico Apertura Mexico

Leon

Leon

Toluca

Toluca

0

1

02/05/22

Mexico Clausura Mexico

Leon

Leon

Toluca

Toluca

4

4

31/10/21

Mexico Apertura Mexico

Toluca

Toluca

Leon

Leon

0

0

Last Five - Toluca

14/04/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Club America

Club America

Toluca

Toluca

5

1

L

07/04/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Atlas

Atlas

Toluca

Toluca

1

4

W

31/03/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Pachuca

Pachuca

Toluca

Toluca

2

3

W

18/03/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

Toluca

Toluca

0

3

W

09/03/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Juarez FC

Juarez FC

Toluca

Toluca

1

1

D

Last Five - Leon

15/04/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

Leon

Leon

1

0

L

06/04/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Queretaro

Queretaro

Leon

Leon

2

0

L

01/04/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Necaxa

Necaxa

Leon

Leon

1

2

W

17/03/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Puebla

Puebla

Leon

Leon

1

2

W

09/03/24

Mexico Liga MX Mexico

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

Leon

Leon

1

2

W

Toluca odds: +112 – 46.5%

Draw odds: +225 – 30.5%

Leon odds: +260 – 22.5%

According to the odds in our Toluca vs Leon prediction, coach Renato Paiva’s players are the expected winners this week, as they keep a massive 46.5% win probability at +112 ahead of the kick-off! Meanwhile, Leon’s odds at +260 barely amount to a 22.5% win probability. However, we believe that a draw is the most likely outcome with a possible under 0.5 first-half goals as well, as our favorite betting tip for this game has a 47.62% chance of success at +110.

Toluca vs Leon Lineups & Team News

Toluca

The bad news for coach Paiva is that his players have conceded goals in 12 consecutive games in all tournaments. The good news is that his players somehow manage to win most of their games. Or at least avoid defeat. That surely works in favor of our Toluca vs Leon predictions.

Predicted lineup – Volpi (GK), Mora, Huerta, Pereira, Baeza, Ruiz, Araujo, Orrantia, Dominguez, Lopez & Meneses

Leon

The 2023 CONCACAF Champions League winners Club Leon will try to get something out of the game against Toluca this week, as coach Bava’s boys did win last week as well. Let’s see what Leon’s starting XI look like for this game.

Predicted lineup – Cota (GK), Ramirez, Barreiro, Frias, Tesillo, Silva, Ambriz, Rodriguez, Lopez, Vinas &

Player to Watch: Tiago Volpi

There are several key reasons why Tiago Volpi is the player to watch in our Toluca vs Leon prediction. First of all, as we mentioned earlier, coach Paiva’s players conceded goals in 13 matches in all tournaments. Sure, Volpi wasn’t responsible for some of those, but he should step up his game if he wants to book more first-team action. Second of all, Volpi is ironically on penalty duty for Toluca. There’s no chance he’ll be on the bench for this very important match against the 2023 CONCACAF Champions League winners.

Starting Lineups

Toluca

Toluca
3-5-2
16
Jean Meneses
cl
6
Federico Pereira
uy
5
Tomas Belmonte
ar
19
Edgar Lopez
mx
23
Claudio Baeza
cl
11
Maximiliano Araujo
uy
4
Valber Huerta
cl
17
Brian Garcia
mx
1
Tiago Volpi
br
14
Marcel Ruiz
mx
7
Juan Dominguez
mx
Substitutes
21
Antonio Figueroa
mx
35
Victor Arteaga
mx
10
Ricardo Angulo
mx
8
Carlos Orrantia
mx
33
Abraham Villegas Maciel
mx
22
Luis Garcia
mx
12
Mauricio Isais
mx
25
Alexis Vega
mx
31
Robert Morales
py
24
Juan Escobar
py

Leon

Leon
5-4-1
5
Fidel Daniel Ambriz Gonzalez
mx
18
Federico Vinas
uy
16
Alan Medina
uy
22
Adonis Frias
ar
19
Gonzalo Napoli
uy
8
Jose Rodriguez
mx
28
David Ramirez
mx
24
Osvaldo Rodriguez
mx
21
Stiven Barreiro
co
13
Angel Mena
ec
30
Rodolfo Cota
mx
Substitutes
197
Sebastian Santos
mx
6
William Tesillo
co
192
Luis Cervantes
mx
20
Jose Alvarado
mx
1
Alfonso Blanco
mx
11
Elias Hernandez
mx
17
Andres Guardado
mx
10
Nicolas Lopez
uy
7
Ivan Moreno
mx
34
Oscar Villa
mx

*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off


Avatar of Zack TC
Zack TC

Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.