Finished
4
-1
Toluca - Leon
Mexico Liga MX - Estadio Nemesio Diez
5th Round
*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Top Toluca vs Leon Predictions & Betting Lines
In a second back-to-back Liga MX visit, Leon face Toluca on the 4th of February. The match is scheduled to be held at Estadio Nemesio Diez, but are the visitors truly doomed? Find out the answer in these Toluca vs Leon betting tips.
The key Liga MX predictions can be found on our website.
Contents
Under 0.5 First-Half Goals
- Three of the last five Toluca vs Leon head-to-heads resulted in under 0.5 first-half goals.
- We had only two goals in four of the last five head-to-heads in general.
- Leon had the 4th-best defensive record in the Apertura campaign.
Draw
- Half of the last 10 Toluca vs Leon matches resulted in draws.
- 60.0% of the previous 5 meetings between these two had no winner.
- Toluca shared the spoils in two of their three Clausura matches thus far.
Free Toluca vs Leon H2H Stats & Match Facts
In this section of our article, you’ll be able to find out more about the bookmaker’s top Toluca vs Leon odds and betting deals. Don’t miss out!
Head to Head
22/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Leon
Toluca
1
0
29/01/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Toluca
Leon
0
0
27/07/22
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
0
1
02/05/22
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
4
4
31/10/21
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Leon
0
0
Last Five - Toluca
01/09/24
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
W
25/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
1
2
W
14/08/24
Leagues Cup Leagues
Colorado Rapids
Toluca
2
1
L
10/08/24
Leagues Cup Leagues
Houston Dynamo
Toluca
2
2
D
10/08/24
Leagues Cup Leagues
Houston Dynamo
Toluca
2 (4)
2 (5)
W
Last Five - Leon
31/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Tijuana
Leon
2
1
L
25/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Santos Laguna
Leon
1
1
D
06/08/24
Leagues Cup Leagues
Colorado Rapids
Leon
1 (4)
1 (3)
L
29/07/24
Leagues Cup Leagues
Portland Timbers
Leon
2
1
L
22/07/24
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Necaxa
Leon
1
1
D
Toluca odds: +112 – 46.5%
Draw odds: +225 – 30.5%
Leon odds: +260 – 22.5%
According to the odds in our Toluca vs Leon prediction, coach Renato Paiva’s players are the expected winners this week, as they keep a massive 46.5% win probability at +112 ahead of the kick-off! Meanwhile, Leon’s odds at +260 barely amount to a 22.5% win probability. However, we believe that a draw is the most likely outcome with a possible under 0.5 first-half goals as well, as our favorite betting tip for this game has a 47.62% chance of success at +110.
Toluca vs Leon Lineups & Team News
Toluca
The bad news for coach Paiva is that his players have conceded goals in 12 consecutive games in all tournaments. The good news is that his players somehow manage to win most of their games. Or at least avoid defeat. That surely works in favor of our Toluca vs Leon predictions.
Predicted lineup – Volpi (GK), Mora, Huerta, Pereira, Baeza, Ruiz, Araujo, Orrantia, Dominguez, Lopez & Meneses
Leon
The 2023 CONCACAF Champions League winners Club Leon will try to get something out of the game against Toluca this week, as coach Bava’s boys did win last week as well. Let’s see what Leon’s starting XI look like for this game.
Predicted lineup – Cota (GK), Ramirez, Barreiro, Frias, Tesillo, Silva, Ambriz, Rodriguez, Lopez, Vinas &
Player to Watch: Tiago Volpi
There are several key reasons why Tiago Volpi is the player to watch in our Toluca vs Leon prediction. First of all, as we mentioned earlier, coach Paiva’s players conceded goals in 13 matches in all tournaments. Sure, Volpi wasn’t responsible for some of those, but he should step up his game if he wants to book more first-team action. Second of all, Volpi is ironically on penalty duty for Toluca. There’s no chance he’ll be on the bench for this very important match against the 2023 CONCACAF Champions League winners.
Starting Lineups
Toluca
Leon
*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off