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Toluca - Leon
Mexico Clausura - Estadio Nemesio Diez
4th Round
Prediction 1
Under 0.5 First-Half Goals
+210
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Draw
+250
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Odds from
*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Top Toluca vs Leon Prediction & Picks for Liga MX
All the Liga MX games in this matchday were the undercard to the main event – the Toluca vs Leon clash at Nemesio Diez Stadium.
Contents
Under 0.5 First-Half Goals
Sure, the 4-4 tie on the 2nd of May, 2022, was one of the most interesting Liga MX games we’ve seen in recent years, but overall, this rivalry is notoriously known for lacking goals. The last match ended with a narrow 0:1 victory for Toluca after a late 89th-minute screamer by Daniel Alvarez. Before that, we even had a goalless tie. There’s nothing here that indicates any change of pace and we’re convinced that if you listen to our Toluca vs Leon prediction, you just might benefit from it.
Draw
It would be surprising if this clash ends any other way. After all, the head-to-head statistics indicate that Sunday’s clash will end with a draw as well. With four of the last six matches between Toluca and Leon ending in draws, Toluca emerging victorious only once, and Leon securing one win, we can’t help but give a Toluca vs Leon prediction for both teams to share the spoils.
Toluca drew their first home game against Club America in a nail-biting 90 minutes that could’ve easily ended with a victory for the visitors. However, Leon are certainly not up to par with Club America so perhaps the match on Sunday will indeed have no winner.
Betting Odds and Key Toluca vs Leon H2H Knowledge
Our graphic contains valuable Toluca vs Leon betting odds and head-to-head stats that you should be aware of before placing a bet:
Head to Head
27/07/22
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
0
1
02/05/22
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
4
4
31/10/21
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Leon
0
0
10/05/21
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
2
2
05/04/21
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Leon
Toluca
2
1
Last Five - Toluca
18/03/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Tijuana
Toluca
3
3
D
12/03/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Mazatlan FC
Toluca
1
4
W
06/03/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Queretaro
Toluca
1
0
L
26/02/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
0
2
W
24/02/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Santos Laguna
Toluca
0
5
W
Last Five - Leon
25/03/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Mazatlan FC
Leon
1
2
W
20/03/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Santos Laguna
Leon
1
4
W
17/03/23
CONCACAF Champions League CCL
Tauro FC
Leon
0
2
W
11/03/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Atlas
Leon
0
1
W
08/03/23
CONCACAF Champions League CCL
Tauro FC
Leon
0
1
W
Toluca odds: +135 – 41.0%
Draw odds: +250 – 27.0%
Leon odds: +195 – 32.0%
The above-mentioned odds give a slight advantage to Toluca as the club has a 41.0% chance of winning the match on Sunday as the +135 odds are certainly alluring. The Liga MX clash isn’t going to be a one-sided affair as Leon deserved their 32.0% probability of winning at +195.
Predicted Lineups, Team News, and Last Result
Toluca
With one victory and a draw since the start of the Clausura campaign, it’s fair to say that Toluca’s players are eager to not let their performance drop. The fans certainly expect a solid performance against Leon. Just like the one they saw from their favorite team against Guadalajara a couple of days ago. The match at Estadio Akron ended with a thrifty 1-2 victory for Toluca that could’ve gone either way as the two teams looked quite similar in terms of quality.
Predicted lineup – Volpi (GK), Araujo, Huerta, Mosquera, Orrantia, Ruiz, Baeza, Vergara, Fernandez, Meneses & Gonzalez
Leon
A player who can make a difference for Leon in this game is definitely Lucas Di Yorio. He already opened his Clausura score tab and considering how well he did in the Apertura race, it’s understandable why we believe he’s bringing balance to our key Toluca vs Leon prediction. Coach Nicolas Larcamon’s boys will have to show us something else this week as the 4-1 beating they took from Pumas UNAM was a once-in-a-season event.
Predicted lineup – Cota (GK), Rodriguez, Tesillo, Ambriz, Barreiro, J. Moreno, Y. Moreno, Davila, Rodriguez, Mena & Di Yorio
Starting Lineups
Toluca
Leon
*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off
Player to Watch: Carlos Gonzalez
The 29-year-old Paraguayan is undoubtedly playing with a fire inside of him this season. The Clausura race has been nothing but generous to him as he found the net twice and provided a teammate with an assist. We base the Toluca vs Leon prediction based on his tremendous form which will undoubtedly cause trouble for the Leon defense on Sunday.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Unam Pumas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Club America | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mazatlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Puebla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
FAQs About the Upcoming Toluca vs Leon Clash:
- Which team has a higher market value? – Toluca’s market value is slightly higher at €51.50m.
- What’s the venue for this clash? – The match will be played at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
- Which bookmaker should I try out? – We recommend BetMGM.
- Are there any injuries or suspensions – Leon’s Byron Castillo is suffering from an ankle injury so he’ll sit this one out.
