The match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City will be played on the 28th of February at the famous Wellington Regional Stadium. The home side’s attack has been lacking quality these days, but we still believe Kosta Barbarouses and his teammates could do some damage. Check out our key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City predictions for more news.
For more exclusive A-League predictions, go to our designated page.
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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction: Easy win for Hearts anticipated
Key Stats
- The last 10 matches between the two teams resulted in two victories for Wellington Phoenix, one draw, and seven Melbourne City wins.
- One of the last three head-to-heads at Wellington Regional Stadium resulted in over 4.5 goals.
- We saw seven goals in Wellington Phoenix’s last official A-League outing.
Correct score prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1-4 Melbourne City
One of the last three meetings at Wellington Regional Stadium resulted in a 1-4 Melbourne City win. We believe our primary Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction has a good chance of success, as the home side showed us nothing in the previous A-League fixture.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hearts are the bookies’ choice
- HOME: 59/20 (3.95) – 23.4%
- DRAW: 51/20 (3.55) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 9/10 (1.90) – 51.6%
*These Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City odds are subject to change
As you can see from the odds above, the expected winners at Wellington Regional Stadium are coach Vidmar’s players. The visitors’ odds are priced at 9/10 (1.90), which gives them a 51.6% win probability before the start of the match.
Kosta Barbarouses to score first deserves some recognition. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction is a bold one, as the odds behind it are valued at 237/100 (3.37), which roughly translates to a 29.67% chance of success.
Last five H2Hs: One-sided affair
You might want to check out these interesting Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City statistics before you place a wager on the game.
Australia A-League 03/01/25
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League 09/03/24
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League 25/11/23
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
Australia Cup 27/08/23
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League 10/04/23
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix team news and form: Generational humiliation for Wellington
The good news for coach Giancarlo Italiano is that Luke Brooke-Smith scored a goal for his team in the last match. However, the bad news outweighs the positives, as Wellington conceded six goals against top dogs Auckland.
Predicted lineup: A. Kelly-Heald (GK), L. Kelly-Heald, Payne, Hughes, Wootton, Conchie, Sheridan, Piper, Ishige, Geraldes & Barbarouses
Australia A-League 12/04/25
L
Melbourne Victory
3
Wellington Phoenix
2
Australia A-League 06/04/25
W
Newcastle Jets
1
Wellington Phoenix
2
Australia A-League 29/03/25
D
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
Wellington Phoenix
2
Australia A-League 16/03/25
D
Sydney FC
1
Wellington Phoenix
1
Australia A-League 08/03/25
L
Western United FC
4
Wellington Phoenix
1
Melbourne City team news and form: Vidmar’s nightmare has no end
Youngster Jayden Neckovski isn’t the only player who’ll miss the game for the visitors. James Jeggo, Alessandro Lopane, Yonathan Cohen, and Andrew Nabbout will also skip the match at Wellington Regional Stadium due to their injury status.
Predicted lineup: Beach (GK), Behich, Ferreyra, Souprayen, Ugarkovic, Trewin, Leckie, Tilio, Rahmani, Kuen & Caputo
Australia A-League 11/04/25
W
Brisbane Roar
2
Melbourne City
3
Australia A-League 05/04/25
W
Central Coast Mariners
0
Melbourne City
1
Australia A-League 29/03/25
W
Sydney FC
2
Melbourne City
3
Australia A-League 12/03/25
L
Newcastle Jets
1
Melbourne City
0
Australia A-League 07/03/25
W
Macarthur FC
0
Melbourne City
2
Player to watch: Steven Ugarkovic
Defensive midfielder Steven Ugarkovic is probably Hearts’ main weapon this season. Not only is he bossing the midfield on a regular basis, but he is also quite capable of finding the net. With three goals since the start of the season, Ugarkovic is proving to be a valuable player for coach Vidmar.
Second player to watch: Medin Memeti
We doubt Memeti will find his name on the starters’ list but with one assist and two goals since the start of the 2024/25 season, Memeti’s presence on the pitch in the second half at Wellington Regional Stadium will surely boost our key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City predictions’ chances.
