Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/02/2025
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Kosta Barbarouses to score anytime

Kosta Barbarouses is Wellington Phoenix's top goalscorer, with seven goals scored since the start of the season.

The match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City will be played on the 28th of February at the famous Wellington Regional Stadium. The home side’s attack has been lacking quality these days, but we still believe Kosta Barbarouses and his teammates could do some damage. Check out our key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City predictions for more news.

For more exclusive A-League predictions, go to our designated page.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction: Easy win for Hearts anticipated

Key Stats

  • The last 10 matches between the two teams resulted in two victories for Wellington Phoenix, one draw, and seven Melbourne City wins.
  • One of the last three head-to-heads at Wellington Regional Stadium resulted in over 4.5 goals.
  • We saw seven goals in Wellington Phoenix’s last official A-League outing.

Correct score prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1-4 Melbourne City

One of the last three meetings at Wellington Regional Stadium resulted in a 1-4 Melbourne City win. We believe our primary Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction has a good chance of success, as the home side showed us nothing in the previous A-League fixture.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hearts are the bookies’ choice

  • HOME: 59/20 (3.95) – 23.4%
  • DRAW: 51/20 (3.55) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 9/10 (1.90) – 51.6%

*These Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City odds are subject to change

As you can see from the odds above, the expected winners at Wellington Regional Stadium are coach Vidmar’s players. The visitors’ odds are priced at 9/10 (1.90), which gives them a 51.6% win probability before the start of the match.

Kosta Barbarouses to score first deserves some recognition. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction is a bold one, as the odds behind it are valued at 237/100 (3.37), which roughly translates to a 29.67% chance of success.

Last five H2Hs: One-sided affair

You might want to check out these interesting Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City statistics before you place a wager on the game.

Australia A-League 03/01/25

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

2
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

0

Australia A-League 09/03/24

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

1
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

0

Australia A-League 25/11/23

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1
Melbourne City

Melbourne City

0

Australia Cup 27/08/23

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

3
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

0

Australia A-League 10/04/23

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

4
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1

Wellington Phoenix team news and form: Generational humiliation for Wellington

The good news for coach Giancarlo Italiano is that Luke Brooke-Smith scored a goal for his team in the last match. However, the bad news outweighs the positives, as Wellington conceded six goals against top dogs Auckland.

Predicted lineup: A. Kelly-Heald (GK), L. Kelly-Heald, Payne, Hughes, Wootton, Conchie, Sheridan, Piper, Ishige, Geraldes & Barbarouses

Australia A-League 12/04/25

L

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

3

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 06/04/25

W

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

1

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 29/03/25

D

Western Sydney Wanderers

Western Sydney Wanderers

2

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 16/03/25

D

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

1

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1

Australia A-League 08/03/25

L

Western United FC

Western United FC

4

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1

Melbourne City team news and form: Vidmar’s nightmare has no end

Youngster Jayden Neckovski isn’t the only player who’ll miss the game for the visitors. James Jeggo, Alessandro Lopane, Yonathan Cohen, and Andrew Nabbout will also skip the match at Wellington Regional Stadium due to their injury status.

Predicted lineup: Beach (GK), Behich, Ferreyra, Souprayen, Ugarkovic, Trewin, Leckie, Tilio, Rahmani, Kuen & Caputo

Australia A-League 11/04/25

W

Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar

2

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

3

Australia A-League 05/04/25

W

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

0

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

1

Australia A-League 29/03/25

W

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

2

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

3

Australia A-League 12/03/25

L

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

1

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

0

Australia A-League 07/03/25

W

Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

0

Melbourne City

Melbourne City

2

Player to watch: Steven Ugarkovic

Defensive midfielder Steven Ugarkovic is probably Hearts’ main weapon this season. Not only is he bossing the midfield on a regular basis, but he is also quite capable of finding the net. With three goals since the start of the season, Ugarkovic is proving to be a valuable player for coach Vidmar.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction 2
Photo by IMAGO

Second player to watch: Medin Memeti

We doubt Memeti will find his name on the starters’ list but with one assist and two goals since the start of the 2024/25 season, Memeti’s presence on the pitch in the second half at Wellington Regional Stadium will surely boost our key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City predictions’ chances.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.