The match between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar will undoubtedly be one of the more interesting ones this week. It’s scheduled to be played on the 6th of February at Wellington Regional Stadium and we do believe the home-field advantage will play a key role in the outcome of this rivalry. Check out our key Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar betting tips for more information.
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Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar prediction: Lions to lose all hope
Key Stats
- Kosta Barbarouses has scored two goals against the Roar in previous meetings.
- Brisbane Roar’s last victory over Wellington Phoenix was recorded on the 12th of March, 2022.
- We saw over 1.5 Wellington Phoenix goals in four of the last eight meetings.
Correct score prediction: Wellington Phoenix 3-0 Brisbane Roar
Two of the last eight matches between the two teams resulted in a 3-0 win for Barbarouses and his colleagues. Our key Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar predictions should succeed, as the Lions are at the very bottom of the table.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Wellington Phoenix with points up for grabs
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 40.2%
- DRAW: 49/20 (3.45) – 28.0%
- AWAY: 39/50 (2.95) – 31.8%
*These Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar odds are subject to change
As you can see from the odds above, the clear favourites are Wellington Phoenix. The expected winners at Wellington Regional Stadium have a decent 40.2% win probability before the start of the game. In comparison, Brisbane Roar’s odds are priced at 39/50 (2.95), which translates to a rather unconvincing 31.8% shot at the three points.
Kosta Barbarouses to score anytime also seems plausible. The odds behind our primary Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar prediction are valued at 31/20 (2.55), which means the striker has a 39.22% chance of finding the net.
Last five H2Hs: One-sided battle
In the charts below, you’ll find the key Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar statistics ahead of the kick-off.
Australia A-League 31/03/24
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Australia A-League 02/02/24
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League 04/11/23
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Australia A-League 16/04/23
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Australia A-League 14/01/23
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix team news and form: Impressive unbeaten run by the hosts
Wellington Phoenix haven’t lost a game in three consecutive games so far. It will be interesting to see if coach Italiano’s players will be able to keep their cool and prove the bookies correct by defeating the Lions this week.
Predicted lineup: Kelly-Heald (GK), Piper, Hughes, Wootton, Sutton, Walker, Retre, Sheridan, Ishige, Barbarouses & Nagasawa
Australia Cup 14/05/25
W
Brisbane Roar
0
Wellington Phoenix
1
Australia A-League 04/05/25
L
Perth Glory
2
Wellington Phoenix
0
Australia A-League 26/04/25
L
Brisbane Roar
1
Wellington Phoenix
0
Australia A-League 18/04/25
L
Adelaide United
3
Wellington Phoenix
2
Australia A-League 12/04/25
L
Melbourne Victory
3
Wellington Phoenix
2
Brisbane Roar team news and form: Major defender out for the Roar
Alas, Ben Warland suffered a cruciate ligament tear and will not play for the Lions until the end of the campaign. This is why probably the team has the weakest backline in the business, with a massive 31 goals conceded since the start of the season.
Predicted lineup: Freke (GK), Herrington, Bility, Zabala, Gilroy, Klein, O’Shea, Jelacic, Hore, Halloran & Zimarino
Australia Cup 14/05/25
L
Wellington Phoenix
1
Brisbane Roar
0
Australia A-League 02/05/25
W
Central Coast Mariners
1
Brisbane Roar
2
Australia A-League 26/04/25
W
Wellington Phoenix
0
Brisbane Roar
1
Australia A-League 22/04/25
D
Adelaide United
1
Brisbane Roar
1
Australia A-League 17/04/25
W
Western United FC
1
Brisbane Roar
2
Player to watch: Kosta Barbarouses
As we mentioned earlier in our Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar prediction, Barbarouses is among the finest performers for coach Giancarlo Italiano this season. With seven goals under his belt, he is surely eyeing 1st place in the Top Goalscorer Award chase.

Second player to watch: Ben Halloran
Thomas Waddingham is no longer part of the team and it’s up to Halloran to step up and be the difference for the Lions. He scored two goals this season already, but will the veteran splash damage against Wellington? Only time will tell.