Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction, odds & betting tips – 12/04/2025
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 1.5 total goals

All of the last five head-to-heads resulted in under 1.5 total goals scored.

It seems that a lot of A-League fans are excited about the prospect of following the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory clash on the 12th of April. The match is scheduled to be held at Wellington Regional Stadium, but will the home-field advantage provide coach Giancarlo Italiano with the much-needed edge? Stay tuned for the answer in our free Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory betting tips.

The rest of our free A-League predictions are on our designated page.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction: Hard game for Big V

Key Stats

  • Melbourne Victory failed to record a win in three consecutive away games.
  • The last time we saw over 1.5 total goals between these two was on the 19th of January, 2024.
  • Tim Payne has three goal contributions for Wellington Phoenix this season so far.

Correct score prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Melbourne Victory

According to the key head-to-head statistics out there, Wellington Phoenix have a compelling advantage over the Big V. Our key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory predictions rely on the fact that two of the last three meetings at Wellington Regional Stadium resulted in tight one-goal wins for the home side.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors with a slight advantage

  • HOME: 187/100 (2.87) – 31.8%
  • DRAW: 61/20 (4.05) – 27.0%
  • AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 41.2%

*These Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory odds are subject to change

Under 1.5 total goals at Wellington Regional Stadium is what we will probably see on the 12th of April, as the odds behind our primary Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory predictions are valued at 147/100 (2.47). This means our key betting tip stands a fighting chance, with a 40.49% success probability.

Last five H2Hs: Phoenix know what needs be done

Australia A-League 14/02/25

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

1
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

0

Australia A-League 24/11/24

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

0

Australia A-League 18/05/24

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

2

Australia A-League 12/05/24

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

0
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

0

Australia A-League 12/04/24

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

0

Thanks to the following graphics, you now have access to the free Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City statistics and match facts.

Wellington Phoenix team news and form: Poor, winless Wellington

With three losses and two draws in their last five A-League outings, it’s about time Wellington Phoenix record a win. Sure, Italiano’s players aren’t anyone’s expected winners, but with the home-field advantage behind them, we believe their chances are looking good.

Predicted lineup: Oluwayemi (GK), Piper, Payne, Sheridan, Sutton, Nagasawa, Kelly-Heald, Ishige, Geraldes, Brooke-Smith & Barbarouses

Australia A-League 12/04/25

L

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

3

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 06/04/25

W

Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

1

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 29/03/25

D

Western Sydney Wanderers

Western Sydney Wanderers

2

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Australia A-League 16/03/25

D

Sydney FC

Sydney FC

1

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1

Australia A-League 08/03/25

L

Western United FC

Western United FC

4

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

1

Melbourne Victory team news and form: Big V fun to watch

Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United blitzed a record eight goals on the 29th of March. The result on the scoreboard at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium could’ve been more impressive as the two teams produced 29 shots at target.

Predicted lineup: Langerak (GK), Inserra, Roderick, Jackson, Bos, Monge, Machach, Velupillay, Piscopo, Arzani & Fornaorli

Australia A-League 12/04/25

W

Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

2

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

3

Australia A-League 29/03/25

W

Adelaide United

Adelaide United

3

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

5

Australia A-League 15/03/25

L

Western Sydney Wanderers

Western Sydney Wanderers

4

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

2

Australia A-League 08/03/25

W

Central Coast Mariners

Central Coast Mariners

0

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

3

Australia A-League 01/03/25

D

Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar

1

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

1

Player to watch: Kosta Barbarouses

Goalscorer-in-chief Kosta Barbarouses forced his way into our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction, as his goalscoring capabilities are simply unmatched. The veteran player has bagged eight goals for his club since the start of the season. It will be interesting to see if he scores again on the 12th.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction 2
Photo by IMAGO

Second player to watch: Nikolaos Vergos

Vergos is the leading finisher for the visitors. He scored six A-League goals so far, and we are sure that if Italiano wants the three points, he’d have to find a way to nullify Vergos.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.