Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/03/2024

09/03/24 - 09:15

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Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory

Australia A-League - Coopers Stadium

The Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory head-to-head will be played on the 9^th of March. With the home-field advantage at Hindmarsh Stadium, perhaps poor Adelaide have a chance of avoiding defeat.

You can find the answer in our professional Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory betting tips this week.

Get more exclusive A-League predictions on our website.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction: A loss is not an option for either side

Key Stats

• A draw is the most common occurrence in this rivalry, responsible for four of the last 10
• All of the draws in the last 10 showdowns were 1-1 ties.
• Bruno Fornaroli is the second-best finisher in the league, with 13 goals scored thus far.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hindmarsh Stadium's advantage not enough

• HOME: 12/5 (3.40) – 28.8%
• DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 24.2%
• AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.0%

*These odds are subject to change

According to the bookmakers’ odds, Adelaide United aren’t considered the expected winners, as the odds behind a home win are priced at 12/5 (3.40), giving coach Carl Veart’s boys barely a 28.8% win probability ahead of the kick-off. Melbourne Victory seem to have the three points up for grabs, as the 11/10 (2.10) odds suggest a massive 47.0% win probability.

However, we believe that a 1-1 tie at 41/10 (5.10) is the likeliest outcome, as the odds imply a 19.61% chance of success.

Last five H2Hs: Even game according to statistics

Australia A-League 30/12/23

Melbourne Victory

2

Adelaide United

0

Australia A-League 04/11/23

Melbourne Victory

1

Adelaide United

1

Australia A-League 26/02/23

Melbourne Victory

1

Adelaide United

1

Australia A-League 14/01/23

Adelaide United

1

Melbourne Victory

1

Australia A-League 11/11/22

Adelaide United

3

Melbourne Victory

0

As you can see from the statistics in our Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction, neither side has the advantage.

Adelaide United team news and form: Veart’s side lacks quality

Coach Carl Veart is doing everything he can to bring the team to the next level, but with four losses and a draw in the last five A-League outings, you could make the case that he is failing. Lachlan Barr won’t partake in this match, which further makes things difficult for Adelaide United.

Predicted lineup: Delianov (GK), Warland, Kitto, Kikianis, Bovalina, Saag, Alagich, Isaias, Ayoubi, Mauk & Jovanovic

Australia Cup 27/08/24

W

Olympic Kingsway

2

Adelaide United

3

Australia Cup 31/07/24

W

Blacktown City

2

Adelaide United

3

Europe Friendlies 23/07/24

W

Cumberland United

1

Adelaide United

8

Australia A-League 01/05/24

L

Central Coast Mariners

2

Adelaide United

0

Australia A-League 26/04/24

W

Brisbane Roar

3

Adelaide United

4

Melbourne Victory team news and form: The Boys in Blue performing well

Team captain Roderick Miranda will miss the match due to suspension, which might help our Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory predictions. After all, he’s the heart and soul of Melbourne Victory’s backline.

Predicted lineup: Izzo (GK), Traore, Chapman, Da Silva, Geria, Brimmer, Teague, Khelifi, Machach, Arzani & Fornaroli

Australia Cup 28/08/24

W

NWS Spirit FC

0

Melbourne Victory

4

Australia Cup 06/08/24

W

Lambton Jaffas

1

Melbourne Victory

4

Australia A-League 25/05/24

L

Central Coast Mariners

3

Melbourne Victory

1

Australia A-League 18/05/24

W

Wellington Phoenix

1

Melbourne Victory

2

Australia A-League 12/05/24

D

Wellington Phoenix

0

Melbourne Victory

0

Player to watch: Bruno Fornaroli

Bruno Fornaorli had a compelling lead in the Top Goalscorer chase in the opening months of this season’s A-League campaign. However, he was occupied with international duty for Australia, so he missed out on plenty of games for Melbourne Victory.

Bruno crushing it this season

If Bruno Fornaroli wants to be crowned as the top finisher in the 2023/24 campaign, he’d have to step up his game, as Newcastle Jets’ Apostolos Stamatelopoulos now has 14 goals to his name.