Chelsea vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 18/04/2023

Chelsea
18/04/23 - 20:00

Finished

0

-

2

Real Madrid

Chelsea - Real Madrid

UEFA Champions League - Stamford Bridge

3rd Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Champions League betting for Chelsea vs Real Madrid with the game due to take place on 18th April.

Chelsea vs Real Madrid prediction and top betting tips

Chelsea are really up against it in this second leg after falling to a 2-0 defeat in Madrid. Can they complete a remarkable turnaround or is it a case of bye bye Blues? Find out with our Chelsea vs Real Madrid match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Chelsea vs Real Madrid Prediction 1: Real Madrid to win

We kick off our predictions for this match by backing Real Madrid to win. The Spanish giants only hold a 2-0 lead from the first leg but, in truth, Chelsea didn't lay a glove on them. With the Blues' recent form reading awfully – three defeats and two draws in their last five – combined with the fact they'll need to open up against Madrid means they're liable to get picked off. Madrid have won three of their last four games too including pumping Barcelona 4-0.

Chelsea vs Real Madrid Prediction 2: Both teams will score

The second of our football betting tips for this game comes from the both teams to score market and we're betting on ‘yes'. Chelsea's recent form does not remotely support them scoring in this game given they've blanked in each of their last four matches, however, they have home advantage here and will have to try and be adventurous to get back in the tie. That could see them net. Unfortunately for them, we can't see them keeping a clean sheet against a side of Madrid's calibre.

Here are the key stats & form guide for Chelsea vs Real Madrid

Head to Head

12/04/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

0

12/04/22

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

3

06/04/22

UEFA Champions League UCL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3

05/05/21

UEFA Champions League UCL

Chelsea

Chelsea

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

0

27/04/21

UEFA Champions League UCL

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

1

Last Five - Chelsea

07/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

2

D

04/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

4

W

30/03/24

England Premier League EPL

Burnley

Burnley

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

2

D

28/03/24

Others Others

Man Utd

Man Utd

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

0

D

27/03/24

Others Others

Man Utd

Man Utd

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

2

W

Last Five - Real Madrid

09/04/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Man City

Man City

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

3

D

05/04/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Barcelona

Barcelona

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

1

D

31/03/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

2

W

16/03/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Osasuna

Osasuna

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

4

W

10/03/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

4

W

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Chelsea vs Real Madrid odds translate into probability ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Chelsea odds: 9/5 (2.80) – 36% Probability

Draw odds: 51/19 (3.68) – 27% Probability

Real Madrid odds: 13/8 (2.63) – 38% Probability

The bookmakers have Real Madrid down as the expected winners for this game with a probability of 38%. Meanwhile, if we look at some other betting markets with great odds, we can see that the main candidate to be the First Goalscorer is Karim Benzema at 4/1 (5.00) odds, which is the same as a 20.00% probability. Also, the most likely Correct Score in this match is a 1-1 draw at 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%.

*All odds stated above are the best available at the time of writing. As such, odds come from a range of different bookmakers and the percentage probabilities stated above will not necessarily add up to 100%.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Chelsea vs Real Madrid

Chelsea

The obvious place to start with Chelsea's team news is to remind you that Ben Chilwell will be unavailable for selection. The England full back was sent off in the first leg. Other areas that come with question marks are at either end of the pitch. Kepa came in for a fair bit of criticism for his inability to get down to Madrid's second goal on Wednesday evening with some fans calling for Edouard Mendy to come back in. At the sharp end of the pitch, Chelsea have real issues. Who will get the nod to start up front?

Predicted lineup – Kepa, Silva, Koulibaly, Fofana, James, Cucurella, Fernandez, Kante, Kovacic, Felix, Mudryk

Real Madrid

Real Madrid might have one foot in the semi-final already but the tie isn't won just yet with a Chelsea goal capable of changing the entire dynamics of things. With that considered, Los Blancos aren't likely to field a weakened side. One area they could look at switching up from the first leg though is at left back. Eduardo Camavinga didn't have a bad game as such but of the Madrid backline, he was the player who struggled the most. A more natural fullback could come in for the second leg.

Predicted lineup – Courtois, Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Odriozola, Valverde, Kroos, Modric, Vinicius, Benzema, Asensio

Chelsea vs Real Madrid Line ups

Chelsea

Chelsea
3-5-1-1
1
Kepa Arrizabalaga
es
14
Trevoh Chalobah
gb
6
Thiago Silva
br
33
Wesley Fofana
fr
24
Reece James
gb
7
N'Golo Kante
fr
8
Enzo Fernandez
ar
8
Mateo Kovacic
hr
3
Marc Cucurella
es
23
Conor Gallagher
gb
29
Kai Havertz
de
Substitutes
20
Denis Zakaria
ch
10
Christian Pulisic
us
12
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
gb
19
Mason Mount
gb
16
Edouard Mendy
sn
11
Joao Felix
pt
10
Mykhailo Mudryk
ua
67
Lewis Hall
gb
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
gb
7
Raheem Sterling
gb
22
Hakim Ziyech
ma
28
Cesar Azpilicueta
es

Real Madrid

Real Madrid
4-3-3
1
Thibaut Courtois
be
2
Dani Carvajal
es
3
Eder Militao
br
4
David Alaba
at
12
Eduardo Camavinga
fr
15
Federico Valverde
uy
8
Toni Kroos
de
10
Luka Modric
hr
11
Rodrygo
br
9
Karim Benzema
fr
7
Vinicius Junior
br
Substitutes
18
Aurelien Tchouameni
fr
19
Dani Ceballos
es
26
Luis Lu00f3pez
es
5
Jesus Vallejo
es
16
Alvaro Odriozola
es
17
Lucas Vazquez
es
13
Andriy Lunin
ua
24
Mariano Diaz
do
6
Nacho
es
22
Antonio Rudiger
de
11
Marco Asensio
es

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to Watch for Chelsea – Joao Felix

Since arriving from Atletico Madrid, Joao Felix failed to stand out from the rest of the team as Chelsea struggled and stumbled, especially in the Premier League. After all, Felix only scored two goals for the team so far.

However, the Portuguese forward has the ability to decide a game with his scoring and his speed on the wings that can open up space for other attackers, so Real Madrid will have to keep Felix in check if they want to secure a spot in the semi finals.

Player to watch for Real Madrid – Vinicius Junior

When you consider that Chelsea are going to have to come out and have a go at Real Madrid in this game there are a couple of ways you can see things going. The likes of Joao Felix might be able to light up Stamford Bridge but, more likely, is Real exposing some gaps in what will become a stretched Chelsea side.

With that noted, Vinicius Junior could be the key man in this match. His lightning pace and cutting edge could take this tie away from Frank Lampard's men very quickly.

A quickfire FAQ on Chelsea – Real Madrid

chelsea vs real madrid prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – The match is being played at Stamford Bridge in London.
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Real Madrid is favoured to win the game by the bookies.
  • What time does the match kick off? – The match will kick off at 8 pm GMT, on Tuesday, April 18th.

Avatar of Ash Munson
Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!