USMNT vs Germany Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 10/14/2023

*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

USMNT vs Germany Predictions and Betting Picks

The USA vs Germany head-to-head on the 14th of October is a can’t-miss international friendly for any true US soccer fan. The match will be played in Connecticut, but does the home team have the upper hand? Find out the answer in our USMNT vs Germany betting tips below.

Germany to Win

  • The four-time World Cup champions have a head-to-head advantage over the USA consisting of six victories and four defeats.
  • Germany won one of their last two games.
  • USA tied two of their last three outings.


  • We saw BTTS in two of USA’s last four games.
  • In two of Germany’s last three games, we had goals galore.
  • Four of the last six USA vs Germany head-to-heads resulted in BTTS.

Key USMNT vs Germany Head-to-Head Statistics and Betting Odds

These USA vs Germany odds are courtesy of FanDuel and BetMGM – two outstanding bookmakers. Go check them out!

USA odds: +325 – 19.0%

Draw odds: +245 – 27.9%

Germany odds: -116 – 53.1%

Even with the home-field support behind them, the USMNT’s players aren’t the expected winners. They barely have a 19.0% chance of securing a win over the four-time World Cup champion. Germany have the victory up for grabs, as the bookies give them a solid 53.1% win probability ahead of this international friendly. BTTS seems like the best bet you can make, as there is approximately 54.55% likelihood.

USMNT vs Germany Lineups & Team News


We feel that coach Gregg Berhalter will rely on the below-mentioned players for the game against Germany. These players played for the USMNT in the match against Oman on the 13th of September, and that ended positively. Folarin Bolagun, Brenden Aaronson, Ricardo Pepi, and a misfortunate own goal by Oman’s defender-in-chief Khalid Al-Braiki proved sufficient as USA grabbed a routine 4-0 win.

Predicted lineup – Horvath (GK), Dest, Robinson, Richards, Hansen, Tillman, Musah, McKennie, Weah, Balogun & Pulisic


Under coach Julian Nagelsmann’s guidance, Germany forged a vital 2-1 victory against France last month. It was merely a friendly game, but Germany were in dire need of a victory, as recent misfortune had Hansi Flik fired. Will our USA vs Germany predictions succeed? If the below-mentioned players follow coach Nagelsmann’s words carefully, our betting tips will surely succeed.

Predicted lineup – ter Stegen (GK), Tah, Sule, Rudiger, Henrichs, Can, Gundogan, Gnabry, Wirtz, Sane & Muller

Player to Watch: Thomas Muller

Surprisingly or not, Thomas Muller is the player to watch in our USA vs Germany prediction. The German legend led the team to a massive 2-1 win over World Cup finalists France on the 12th of September. Germany weren’t the better of the two teams. France had twice as many shots at target. However, Thomas’ experience was decisive, as he and Leroy Sane scored the winning goals for the team – Muller opened in the 4th minute of the game, with Sane adding the winner in the 87th.

Starting Lineups

*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off

USA vs Germany Prediction

Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.