Bengals vs Chiefs prediction, odds and bets 01/29/2023

The No. 3 seed Cincinnati Bengals will take on the No. 1 seed Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game. Let’s take a close look at this Bengals vs Chiefs prediction with odds and analysis.

Bengals vs Chiefs prediction: top picks for the AFCCG

We have three of our favorite picks for this big AFC matchup to determine the second Super Bowl participant. The Bengals vs Chiefs odds have the Chiefs as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 48 points.

Bengals +1.5 @ -110

Our best Bengals vs Chiefs prediction is taking Cincinnati to do it again and move to 4-0 against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Mahomes is not 100%, Joe Burrow has led the Bengals to 10 wins in a row, and the Bengals have the right read on this Kansas City offense with defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo putting together great game plans.

The Bengals held the Bills, the No. 2 scoring offense in the NFL, to 10 points in Buffalo last week. It was also the first time in 27 games the Bills lost by more than 6 points. The Chiefs have not lost 31 straight games by more than 4 points, but this Cincinnati team is balanced and the Mahomes’ ankle injury is going to be significant enough to cut down his scrambling ability.

Trust the Bengals to make it to back-to-back Super Bowls with a win here, or you can still bet on them with the points to cover to play it a little safer.

Over 48 Points @ -110

The Bengals vs Chiefs odds have changed often for the spread because of Mahomes’ injury, but the total has remained consistently around 47 or 48 points. These teams have played three straight games that had at least 51 points, and their last meeting also featured a dropped touchdown, a fumble by Travis Kelce at midfield, a missed field goal, and the Bengals ran out the clock on their last drive.

The game could have easily been higher scoring than 27-24. The Mahomes injury is a concern, but the Chiefs have good coaches who will scheme plays to be productive, and they have scored at least 17 points in every game this season.

The Chiefs rank No. 21 in points per drive allowed, so this is a much weaker defense for the Bengals to move the ball against than even the Bills and Ravens were the last two weeks. Look for both teams to score in the mid-20s at least to hit the over.

Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD Scorer @ +100

Our final Bengals vs Chiefs prediction is a player prop with Ja’Marr Chase scoring another touchdown in the playoffs and against the Chiefs. Chase has scored in both playoff games and in 9-of-14 games this season.

Chase also scored a touchdown in last year’s AFC Championship Game, and he scored three touchdowns the first time he played Kansas City a season ago. He has been on a great run with Joe Burrow, and the Chiefs allow the most touchdown passes (33) in the NFL and have been scored on by many No. 1 receivers.

How to watch the Bengals vs Chiefs 2022 AFC championship game

• The game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs will be played on 01/29/2023 at 06:30 PM ET.
• The game will be broadcast live on CBS.

The key player in the Bengas @ Chiefs AFC Championship game

Joe Burrow: This guy is now absolutely under the spotlight. His game is the reason for that along with all the trash talk his teammates are throwing around. They refer to ”Arrowhead” Stadium as ”Burrowhead” because the Bengals are now 3-0 versus Patrick mahomes in the Joe Burrow era. The young superstar has to play an almost flawless game and if he makes a second Super Bowl in two consecutive season, there will be some serious debates about who might be the best quarterback in the league.

Top questions about the Bengals vs Chiefs game in the conference championship

Here are some of the top questions and answers about the Bengals vs Chiefs game this Sunday evening.

Where is the Bengals vs Chiefs game being played?

The game is being played at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

Is Patrick Mahomes (ankle) playing?

Yes, all signs point to Patrick Mahomes playing just eight days after a high-ankle sprain. Many quarterbacks miss two or three games for such an injury, but there are varying degrees of high-ankle sprains, and he is going to play the best he can Sunday.

What is a good betting trend for the Bengals?

In road games since 2021, the Bengals are 17-4 ATS (81.0%), by far the best record in the NFL.

What is Kansas City’s spread record?

In 2022, the Chiefs are just 6-11-1 ATS, the fourth-worst record in the league.