Reading vs Watford Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 04/02/2023

Reading
04/02/23 - 15:00

Finished

2

-

2

Watford

Reading - Watford

England Championship - Select Car Leasing Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Reading vs Watford with the game due to take place on Saturday February 4th.

Reading vs Watford: Our top betting predictions

Neither of these sides are putting together anything like a consistent run of form, which could prove costly in what is a fiercely contested Championship table. Will either side find a way of winning this game? Find out with our Reading vs Watford match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Reading to win

We have mentioned in our opening that neither of these sides are particularly consistent and that is true; Reading have lost three of their last five whilst recording one win and a draw whilst Watford have won two, lost two and drawn one of their past five games. Where the consistency changes a little bit is when you dive into the respective home and away form. It is for this reason why we're predicting Reading win this match. Let's explain why. The Royals are unbeaten at home in four games winning three and drawing the other. Watford by contrast have lost three of their last four away games including each of their last two. Reading have also won the last two times they've entertained the Hornets.

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Someone will fail to score

Our next prediction for this game comes from the both teams to score market and we're betting on the ‘no' outcome. Reading have seen three of their last five matches end with someone failing to score; they've kept one clean sheet in those games whilst failing to score on two occasions. Watford meanwhile have seen just one of their last five matches end with goals at both ends. In those four games, the Hornets have kept two clean sheets and blanked in two games. As for the head to head record, the last five meetings have all ended with at least one side failing to score; that means they last clash where both teams did bag goals was in 2015!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Reading vs Watford

Head to Head

07/01/23

England FA Cup FA Cup

Reading

Reading

Watford

Watford

2

0

08/11/22

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

Reading

Reading

2

0

10/09/22

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

Reading

Reading

0

0

09/04/21

England Championship CHA

Watford

Watford

Reading

Reading

2

0

03/10/20

England Championship CHA

Reading

Reading

Watford

Watford

1

0

Last Five - Reading

31/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Charlton

Charlton

Reading

Reading

0

2

W

24/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Wrexham

Wrexham

Reading

Reading

3

0

L

20/08/24

England EFL Trophy England

West Ham U21

West Ham U21

Reading

Reading

1

3

W

17/08/24

England League 1 League 1

Wigan

Wigan

Reading

Reading

0

2

W

13/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Colchester

Colchester

Reading

Reading

2 (4)

2 (3)

L

Last Five - Watford

01/09/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

Watford

Watford

1

0

L

27/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Plymouth

Plymouth

Watford

Watford

0

2

W

24/08/24

England Championship CHA

Derby

Derby

Watford

Watford

1

2

W

17/08/24

England Championship CHA

Stoke

Stoke

Watford

Watford

0

3

W

13/08/24

England EFL Cup EFL Cup

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

Watford

Watford

0

5

W

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Reading odds: 9/5 (2.80) – 36%

Draw odds: 15/7 (3.14) – 32%

Watford odds: 11/7 (2.57) – 39%

Watford arrive into this game as favourites but with just a 3% probability edge over Reading in the bookmakers pricing it's clear that this game is going to be an intense battle between two sides that still hold onto promotion dreams. It's not just the match result markets that are finely balanced either. The both teams to score market sees the ‘yes' and ‘no' options both priced at odds on. Seemingly, the only thing the bookies are sure of is that the game will be a low scorer with the under 2.5 goals market offered at a very short price!

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Reading vs Watford

Reading

Reading's results haven't gone to plan in recent weeks and after their league outing ended in a tragic 4-0 defeat it would be almost guaranteed that we see a few changes for this match. We're expecting a step back towards the side that drew with QPR, which would see the Royals line up with a highly attacking side.

Predicted lineup – Lumley, Yiadom, Holmes, Sarr, Loum, Hoilett, Hendrick, Hutchinson, Baba, Ince, Carroll

Watford

Watford currently sit in the playoff places but a combination of poor form, intense competition and a growing injury list has Hornets fans very worried about the run in. That said, they'll see this match as one they can win and we're anticipating them to lineup in a manner that would really see them take the game to their hosts.

Predicted lineup – Bachmann, Ferreira, Sierralta, Cathcart, Morris, Gaspar, Choudhury, Kone, Sarr, Martins, Bayo

Starting Lineups

Reading

Reading
7
Shane Long
ie
27
Amadou Mbengue
sn
20
Cesare Casadei
it
3
Tom Holmes
gb
22
Mamadou Loum N'Diaye
sn
5
Tom McIntyre
gb
1
Joe Lumley
gb
17
Andy Yiadom
gh
10
Tom Ince
gb
8
Jeff Hendrick
ie
23
Junior Hoilett
ca
Substitutes
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker
gb
11
Yakou Meite
fr
19
Tyrese Fornah
gb
6
Scott Dann
gb
15
Femi Azeez
gb
9
Lucas Joao
pt
21
Dean Bouzanis
au

Watford

Watford
21
Henrique Araujo
pt
37
Matheus Martins
br
15
Craig Cathcart
gb
22
Ryan Porteous
gb
23
Ismaila Sarr
sn
4
Hamza Choudhury
gb
7
Keinan Davis
gb
3
Mario Gaspar
es
25
Leandro Bacuna
cw
14
Hassane Kamara
ci
1
Daniel Bachmann
at
Substitutes
42
James William Morris
gb
26
Ben Hamer
gb
11
Ismael Kone
ca
34
Britt Assombalonga
cd
44
Wesley Hoedt
nl
10
Joao Pedro
br
54
Tobi Ademeyo
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

If you're talking about match winners then these sides boast a fair few. The one we're picking out though is Watford's Senegal international Ismaila Sarr. He has two goal contributions in his last four games and sits on 13 contributions for the season at a rate of one every 153 minutes.

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Sunderland

Sunderland

4 4 0 0 9 12
2 West Brom

West Brom

4 3 1 0 4 10
3 Watford

Watford

4 3 0 1 4 9
4 Leeds

Leeds

4 2 2 0 4 8
5 Blackburn

Blackburn

4 2 2 0 3 8
6 Burnley

Burnley

4 2 1 1 7 7
7 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

4 2 1 1 2 7
8 Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

4 2 2 0 3 6
9 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

4 2 0 2 2 6
10 Derby

Derby

4 2 0 2 1 6
11 Stoke

Stoke

4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 QPR

QPR

4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Norwich

Norwich

4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Bristol City

Bristol City

4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Millwall

Millwall

4 1 1 2 1 4
16 Swansea

Swansea

4 1 1 2 1 4
17 Coventry

Coventry

4 1 1 2 -1 4
18 Portsmouth

Portsmouth

4 0 3 1 -2 3
19 Hull

Hull

4 0 3 1 -2 3
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

4 1 0 3 -5 3
21 Preston

Preston

4 1 0 3 -6 3
22 Plymouth

Plymouth

4 0 2 2 -5 2
23 Luton

Luton

4 0 1 3 -5 1
24 Cardiff

Cardiff

4 0 1 3 -9 1

A quickfire FAQ on Reading vs Watford

  • Where is the match being played? – Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Watford
  • What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.