Tunisia vs France Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 30/11/2022  

*All odds are correct at the time of writing but are also subject to change, so double-check them.

Tunisia vs France World Cup 2022 Prediction

France have already secured safe passage into the last 16 by winning their opening two fixtures in Group D but there is all still to play for amongst the remaining three teams. Tunisia know that only a win will give them a chance of progressing into the knockout stage and to be fair to the North Africans, they have played better than their results suggest.

 

Both Teams to Score

All of the four previous meetings between these two nations have ended with both teams getting on the scoreboard, and we're expecting more of the same in today's Group D clash. Tunisia are yet to score in the 2022 World Cup but have come close on several occasions and should be handed more opportunities today if France plays a heavily rotated starting eleven as expected. Both of France's opening two group games ended with both teams scoring, so you can see why we're backing goals at both ends of the pitch in this game.

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Tunisia Double Chance

We're going against the odds with this tip and backing Tunisia to come away with at least a point and possibly all three this afternoon. France will surely play a weakened side to give some of their older players a rest while Tunisia simply have to go all out for the win. Three of the previous four meetings between these two countries have ended in stalemates and while Tunisia have never beaten France before, this is their best chance to record a famous victory.

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Recent Match Stats and Odds for Tunisia vs France 

In this section, you can check out the most recent odds and stats for both teams: 

Last Five - TunisiaTunisia

30/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

France

France

Tunisia

Tunisia

0

1

W

26/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Australia

Australia

Tunisia

Tunisia

1

0

L

22/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Denmark

Denmark

Tunisia

Tunisia

0

0

D

27/09/22

International Match International

Brazil

Brazil

Tunisia

Tunisia

5

1

L

14/06/22

International Match International

Japan

Japan

Tunisia

Tunisia

0

3

W

Last Five - FranceFrance

04/12/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Poland

Poland

France

France

1

3

W

30/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Tunisia

Tunisia

France

France

1

0

L

26/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Denmark

Denmark

France

France

1

2

W

22/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Australia

Australia

France

France

1

4

W

25/09/22

UEFA Nations League NAL

Denmark

Denmark

France

France

2

0

L


While France is already in the next stage and only a miracle could keep them from being first in the group, Tunisia is in the last place and they would also need a lot of things going their way to progress to the next stage. In any case, let's check out the average odds for this duel:

  • Tunisia odds: 15/2 (8.50)
  • Draw odds: 15/4 (4.75)
  • France odds: 4/9 (1.44)

It's clear that France is the favourite to win this one, even if they don't field their best team in this match. Still, the bookies consider that France has a 69.2% probability to win this game, while the win probability for Tunisia is just 11.8%. The probability of this game ending in a draw is 21.1%.

Meanwhile, in terms of goals, the bookies expect to see them in this game since the average odds on over 2.5 total goals are 22/25 (1.88), which comes to a 53.2% probability. That's not so high, meaning that we should see goals, but that it's not so certain. After all, the odds on under 2.5 total goals are 21/20 (2.05), which is a probability of 48.8%.

If we take a look at some of the markets with high odds, like the correct score, we can see that the most likely correct scores for Tunisia vs France are 1-0 and 2-0 to France.

Can Tunisia Take Advantage of France's Potential Complacency?

Tunisia 

Tunisia isn't anywhere near the top of FIFA's World Rankings and they did disappoint so far in group stages. Although their draw with Denmark was a good result, they followed it by a loss to Australia, which was somewhat surprising since Australia is among the weakest teams in the tournament. So, Tunisia only has a small chance to reach the next stage, for which they need a win over France and also the other game in the group to go their way.

France 

Despite many injuries that hit the team before the start of the tournament, including losing Karim Benzema, the reigning winner of Ballon d'Or, France basically secured first place in the group before the last round with wins over Australia and Denmark. The team played good football so far and the defending world champions showed that they have every intention of going all the way once again to become the first team since Brazil in 1962 to defend the title.

Questions & Answers for Tunisia vs France

Tunisia France prediction

  • Where can I watch the match live? – BBC One, BBC Sport Website, and BBC iPlayer. 
  • Where is the game going to be played? – Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan. 
  • What is the starting time of the fixture? – 15:00 UK, 16:00 CET.