Finished 3 1 Stevenage - Derby England League 1 - The Lamex Stadium 
Stevenage and Derby lock horns in a League One clash on Saturday, October 28th. The teams are separated by just 2 points in the standings and the contest promises to be close. To find out more about this game and other predictions check our dedicated League One betting tips page.
Stevenage vs Derby predictions and betting tips
If you need help finding the right bet for Stevenage vs Derby, check our top betting picks for this game, as well as our latest team news and predicted lineups, along with our other best football tips for today.
Under 9.5 Corners
- In 3 of Stevenage’s last 5 home games, there were no more than 8 corners.
- Derby saw 4 of their last 5 away matches produce fewer than 10 corners.
- Also, 6 of Derby’s last 9 league games stayed under 9.5 corners.
Under 2.5 Goals
- Stevenage saw 4 of their last 5 games stay under 2.5 goals.
- This also happened in 3 of Derby’s last 4 matches.
- In 7 of Stevenage’s last 9 home games, there were no more than 2 goals scored.
Top betting odds and key stats for Stevenage vs Derby
Check the best Stevenage vs Derby odds and useful stats here, on our website:
03/05/25 England League 1 League 1 Bolton Stevenage 1 1 D 27/04/25 England League 1 League 1 Rotherham Stevenage 1 1 D 24/04/25 England League 1 League 1 Birmingham Stevenage 1 0 L 21/04/25 England League 1 League 1 Bristol Rovers Stevenage 0 1 W 18/04/25 England League 1 League 1 Blackpool Stevenage 3 1 L 03/05/25 England Championship CHA Stoke Derby 0 0 D 26/04/25 England Championship CHA Hull Derby 0 1 W 21/04/25 England Championship CHA West Brom Derby 1 3 W 18/04/25 England Championship CHA Luton Derby 1 0 L 12/04/25 England Championship CHA Portsmouth Derby 2 2 D Last Five - Stevenage
Last Five - Derby
Now, let's take a better look at the best markets and odds we found for this duel:
Stevenage odds: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1% Probability
Draw odds: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4% Probability
Derby odds: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8% Probability
The bookies don’t have expected winners of this game with the win probability for both teams pretty similar – 38.1% for Stevenage and 34.8% for Derby. In other markets, Derby to Score First comes at 47.70% probability.
Stevenage – Derby preview: latest form, news, and potential lineups
Read all of the latest injury updates and team news for this duel, including our predicted Stevenage vs Derby lineups.
Stevenage
The Stags enjoyed a very strong start to the season on their return to League One after promotion. Stevenage’s form suffered a sharp decline after the first international break in September though.
A single win in the least six rounds saw Stevenage slide out of the top 3 and now they are even out of the top 6. On Tuesday a decent away display vs Bristol Rovers nearly brought a win. In the end, the passive final 15 minutes resulted in a late goal being conceded and this saw Stevenage having to settle for a 1-1 draw.
Centre-back Sweeney remains a serious doubt after missing the last 3 games due to an unspecified injury. Another defender Vancooten picked up a knock on Tuesday but hopes are he will recover on time.
Predicted Lineup:
Ashby-Hammond (GK), Burns, Vancooten, Piergianni, Freeman, Forster-Caskey, Thompson, Butler, Roberts, Pressley & Reid
Derby
Derby offered a confident display on Tuesday night against strugglers Exeter and the Rams ran away with a 2-0 win from this match. It was a dominant showing from Warne’s men and for once they never lowered their guard.
Conceding cheap goals and losing focus for 10-15-minute periods in matches has hurt Derby so far this season. They secured back-to-back wins only once so far. That was way back in early August.
Several backup players are missing injured but both wide midfielders Elder and Ward could be back on the bench as they have trained for a full week now without restrictions.
Predicted Lineup:
Wildsmith (GK), Cashin, Nelson, Forsyth, Mendez-Laing, Smith, Bird, Hourihane, Barkuizen, Waghorn & Collins
Starting Lineups
The teams usually announce their starting lineups one hour before the start of the game.
Player to Watch: Jamie Reid
Stevenage's star striker Jamie Reid already scored 9 goals in 14 league appearances. Reid scored just 10 goals in 45 starts last season in League Two so he is doing way better than expected.
The Stags recognise that and in the last 5 rounds, 74% of all crosses had targeted exactly Reid. With so many balls coming his way Reid should continue scoring.
