Southampton vs Grimsby prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 01/03/2023

Southampton
01/03/23 - 19:15

Finished

1

-

2

Grimsby

Southampton - Grimsby

England FA Cup - St. Mary's Stadium

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you FA Cup predictions for Southampton vs Grimsby with the game due to take place on 1st March.

Southampton vs Grimsby prediction and top betting tips

As a Premier League side with home advantage, Southampton should cruise through this game without too many concerns. Will they? Find out with our Southampton vs Grimsby match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Southampton vs Grimsby Prediction 1: Grimsby to win +2

We kick off our predictions for this game by backing Grimsby to win this game – but only with a plus two handicap. Southampton should win this game but their form is awful and that isn't just something they can turn off. Combine that with the game plan that Grimsby, who are unbeaten in three, are likely to bring into this match and it's hard to see Southampton getting over the line with much room to spare.

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Southampton vs Grimsby Prediction 2: Over 2.5 goals

Our next prediction for this game comes from the total goals market and we are expecting this match to produce at least three goals as we back over 2.5. Southampton have seen three of their last five games go north of that 2.5 cut off whilst Grimsby have seen three of their last four matches break the aforementioned 2.5 threshold. Things look even better when focussed on the specific home and away form with each of Southampton's last two going over 2.5 and Grimsby not going under 2.5 goals on the road in 2023.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Southampton vs Grimsby

Last Five - Southampton

24/02/24

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Southampton

Southampton

2

1

L

20/02/24

England Championship CHA

Hull

Hull

Southampton

Southampton

2

1

L

16/02/24

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Southampton

Southampton

0

2

W

13/02/24

England Championship CHA

Bristol City

Bristol City

Southampton

Southampton

3

1

L

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Huddersfield

Huddersfield

Southampton

Southampton

3

5

W

Last Five - Grimsby

24/02/24

England League 2 England

Morecambe

Morecambe

Grimsby

Grimsby

1

1

D

17/02/24

England League 2 England

Doncaster

Doncaster

Grimsby

Grimsby

5

1

L

10/02/24

England League 2 England

Stockport

Stockport

Grimsby

Grimsby

3

1

L

03/02/24

England League 2 England

Accrington Stanley

Accrington Stanley

Grimsby

Grimsby

0

0

D

27/01/24

England League 2 England

Tranmere

Tranmere

Grimsby

Grimsby

2

1

L

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the Southampton vs Grimsby odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Southampton odds: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%

Draw odds: 13/3 (5.33) – 19%

Grimsby odds: 8/1 (9.00) – 11%

Southampton don't come into many games as odds on favourites these days but that is exactly what they are here and at 1/3 (1.33) you'd probably suggest the bookies have called this just about right. That being said, given how sloppy the form has been for Southampton of late, a shock is far from off the cards and, as such, there could easily be money arrive for a Grimsby win.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Southampton vs Grimsby

Southampton

With Southampton staring relegation from the Premier League in the face, the big question ahead of this game is whether or not they go with a side that is anywhere close to full strength. On one hand, this is a great opportunity to go deeper in the FA Cup and to generate some positive momentum around the club but, equally, they won't want to lose any key players through injury. We're anticipating a blended XI.

Predicted lineup – Caballero, Walker-Peters, Maitland-Niles, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Djenepo, Walcott, Armstrong, Diallo, Mara, Onuachu

Grimsby

Grimsby might not be flying right now with just one win in their last five but they are unbeaten in three and with a couple of giant killings already under their belt they will fully believe they're capable of giving a good account of themselves at St Mary's – especially with the Saints out of form. Expect the strongest possible XI to be named and, don't be surprised, if it's a team set up to frustrate and counter.

Predicted lineup – Crocombe, Maher, Waterfall, Smith, Efete, Holoha, Morris, Green, Amos, Clifton, Dadomo

Southampton vs Grimsby Line ups

Southampton

Southampton
4
Lyanco
rs
6
Duje Caleta-Car
hr
19
Moussa Djenepo
ml
9
Adam Armstrong
gb
26
Carlos Alcaraz
ar
18
Sekou Mara
fr
11
Mislav Orsic
hr
15
Romain Perraud
fr
1
Alex McCarthy
gb
45
Romeo Lavia
be
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
gb
Substitutes
65
Kami Doyle
gb
7
Joe Aribo
ng
37
Armel Bella-Kotchap
de
23
Samuel Edozie
gb
53
Dominic Ballard
gb
3
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
gb
8
James Ward Prowse
gb

Grimsby

Grimsby
6
Luke Waterfall
gb
20
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo
gb
8
Gavan Holohan
ie
15
Harry Louis Clifton
gb
16
Alex Hunt
gb
1
Max Crocombe
nz
3
Anthony Driscoll-Glennon
gb
2
Michee Efete
cd
31
Niall Callum James Peter Maher
gb
10
John McAtee
gb
Substitutes
29
Ryan Paul Taylor
gb
11
Otis Khan
pk
17
Bryn Morris
gb
30
Evan Khouri
gb
22
Danny Amos
gb
26
Andy Smith
gb
19
Thomas Dickson-Peters
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

The obvious thing to do here is to wax lyrical about a Southampton player, however, we want to shine a spotlight on one of the Grimsby stars instead. Step forward Harry Clifton. The 24-year-old midfielder scored twice in his sides last FA Cup double header as Grimsby saw off Luton following a replay whilst he has 10 goal contributions for the season to his name. Whether or not he can help his team win this game remains to be seen but he'll certainly be able to showcase some of his qualities during this game.

A quickfire FAQ on Southampton – Grimsby

Southampton vs Grimsby prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – St Mary's Stadium
  • What is the capacity of the hosting Stadium? St Mary's Stadium has 32,384 seating capacity.
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Southampton
  • What time does the match kick off?  19:15 GMT
  • Which TV channels in the UK will have a live broadcast of Southampton vs Grimsby? The match will be live on ITVX and ITV4.
  • Who will be the referee in charge of the Southampton vs Grimsby Town FA Cup round 5 clash? Thomas Bramall will be in charge of the game. The match referee averages 3.02 yellow cards per match. He has an average of 0.12 red cards per match. Thomas Bramall has been in charge of 12 FA Cup clashes ahead of his on-field refereeing role in this game. In the 12 games, Thomas Bramall has issued an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 2 red cards and awarded 3 penalties.
  • Have these teams played against each other before? No, the FA Cup round 5 meeting between Southampton and Grimsby will the first encounter between the two teams.
  • How did Grimsby Town perform in their last five away games? Grimsby Town recorded WLWDL in their last 5 away matches across all competitions.

Avatar of Ash Munson
Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!