Birmingham vs Southampton prediction, odds & betting tips – 02/03/2024

02/03/24 - 15:00

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Birmingham - Southampton

England Championship - St Andrew's Trillion Trophy Stadium

We're bringing you our Championship predictions for Saturday's clash between Birmingham and Southampton.

These two former Premier League sides are battling at opposite ends of the Championship table as things stand with the Saints pushing for a top-flight return and the Blues hoping to avoid a relegation battle.

Birmingham vs Southampton predictions: Will the Saints go marching on?

Key Stats

• Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings between these two clubs, while four of Southampton's last six outings have also ended with both teams scoring.
• Southampton are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Birmingham, claiming a 3-1 win in the pair's reverse league fixture in October.
• Adam Armstrong top scores for Southampton this season with 16 league goals, and is due a goal after failing to score in his last four matches in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Southampton the favourite

• HOME: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
• DRAW: 37/13 (3.85) – 26%
• AWAY: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Southampton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 54.1%, and we tend to agree with this selection.

Birmingham have seen their form improve of late, especially at home, while Southampton have slipped up a few times of late but should still have more than enough about them to secure all three points this weekend.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 13/10 (2.30) which has a probability of 43.5%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals has odds of 4/6 (1.67) with a probability of 60%.

Last five H2Hs: Saint searching for a second win against Birmingham

• Southampton 3 – 1 Birmingham City
• Birmingham City 0 – 0 Southampton
• Southampton 4 – 1 Birmingham City
• Southampton 1 – 2 Birmingham City
• Birmingham City 1 – 0 Southampton

Southampton have had the better of the recent meetings between these two clubs, picking up two wins and a draw from their last three encounters in the league. Back in October, Southampton secured a comfortable 3-1 victory over the Blues with top scorer Adam Armstrong finding the back of the net.

Team news and form guide

Birmingham: Lost four of their last six

Alex Pritchard, Alfie Chang and George Hall could all miss the Southampton game this weekend through injury, though Pritchard is closing in on a return to the side.

Predicted lineup: Ruddy (GK), Roberts, Sanderson, Laird, Drameh, Miyoshi, Paik, Dozzell, James, Roberts & Stansfield

England League 1 11/02/25

W

Cambridge Utd

0

Birmingham

4

England FA Cup 08/02/25

L

Newcastle

3

Birmingham

2

England EFL Trophy 04/02/25

W

Stevenage

0

Birmingham

1

England League 1 01/02/25

W

Rotherham

1

Birmingham

2

England League 1 28/01/25

W

Huddersfield

0

Birmingham

1

Southampton: Looking to end three-game losing streak

The visitors have question marks over the fitnesses of Ross Stewart and Juan Larios ahead of the trip to St. Andrew's this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Bazunu (GK), Stephens, Bednarek, Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Armstrong, Edozie, Aribo, Brooks, Smallbone & Adams

England FA Cup 08/02/25

L

Burnley

1

Southampton

0

England Premier League 01/02/25

W

Ipswich

1

Southampton

2

England Premier League 25/01/25

L

Newcastle

3

Southampton

1

England Premier League 19/01/25

L

Nottm Forest

3

Southampton

2

England Premier League 16/01/25

L

Man Utd

3

Southampton

1

Player to watch – Adam Armstrong

Adam Armstrong always seems to perform well in the Championship but will be desperate to prove his worth in the Premier League with Southampton next season.

Armstrong scored an impressive 28 goals in his last Championship campaign with Blackburn Rovers before joining Southampton in the Premier League where he only scored four goals in two seasons.

Scoring and creating goals on a regular basis

The Saint's striker is back to his best following Southampton's relegation to the Championship, scoring 16 goals in 34 appearances so far. We're backing Armstrong to put in another good performance in front of goal against Birmingham on Saturday.