Shrewsbury vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips 21/10/2023

Shrewsbury
21/10/23 - 15:00

Finished

1

-

0

Derby

Shrewsbury - Derby

England League 1 - Montgomery Waters Meadow

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Shrewsbury and Derby cross swords on Saturday, October 21st in a League One clash. Derby continue to play much better on the road while the Shrews remain unpredictable. Here is our detailed preview of the game, as well as our best Shrewsbury vs Derby free betting tips. Also, check out our dedicated League One betting tips page. 

Shrewsbury vs Derby predictions and betting tips

If you need help finding the right bet for Shrewsbury vs Derby, check our top betting picks for this game, along with our other best football tips for today.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • In 6 of Shrewsbury’s last 7 games, there were no more than 2 goals scored. 
  • Shrewsbury also saw 8 of their last 9 home matches stay under 2.5 goals. 
  • Derby were involved in games that went over 2.5 goals only twice in their last 7 matches. 

Derby to Win

  • The Rams have been impressive on the road in the league – W4 D1 L1. 
  • Derby are near-perfect in their last 4 away matches W3 D1. 
  • Shrewsbury lost 5 of their last 9 games – W2 D2. 

Top betting odds and key stats for Shrewsbury vs Derby

Check the best Shrewsbury vs Derby odds and useful stats here, on our website:

Last Five - Shrewsbury

13/07/24

Club Friendly List Club

Brackley

Brackley

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

1

1

D

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

3

1

L

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Charlton

Charlton

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

1

1

D

16/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Bolton

Bolton

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

2

2

D

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Wycombe

Wycombe

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury

2

0

L

Last Five - Derby

12/07/24

UK Friendlies UK

Matlock Town

Matlock Town

Derby

Derby

0

3

W

27/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Carlisle

Carlisle

Derby

Derby

0

2

W

20/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Cambridge Utd

Cambridge Utd

Derby

Derby

0

1

W

13/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

Derby

Derby

0

3

W

10/04/24

England League 1 League 1

Wycombe

Wycombe

Derby

Derby

0

0

D

Now, let's take a better look at the best markets and odds we found for this duel:

Shrewsbury odds: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7% Probability

Draw odds: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8% Probability

Derby odds: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4% Probability

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

As we can see, the bookies see Derby to be the expected winners in this match, with a 52.40% win probability. In other markets BTTS – No comes at 53.70% probability.  

Shrewsbury – Derby preview: latest form, news, and potential lineups

Read all of the latest injury updates and team news for this duel, including our predicted Shrewsbury vs Derby lineups.

Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury were fortunate to save a 1-1 draw on their visit to Cambridge last weekend. Perry was the hero with his stoppage-time goal. The character shown was good but the general display was not that impressive yet again. 

Shrewsbury scored late goals in two consecutive rounds now and they earned 4 points from those matches thanks to those goals. 

The Shrews scored only 2 goals in the last 7 rounds and it is not surprising that they won only one of those games – D2 L4. 

Influential playmaker Kenneh was missing last weekend as he was on international duty. He’s back now and ready to start again. 

Continue to be without 5 injured players. Among them regular starters in defence Nurse and Feeney. 

Predicted Lineup: 

Marosi (GK), Feeney, Flanagan, Dunkley, Winchester, Perry, Bayliss, Kenneh, Bennett, Udoh& Bowman 

Derby

Derby have won just 5 of their last 11 league games but 4 of those wins were achieved on the road. The Rams are currently on a 5-game unbeaten run to W2 D3. However, in their last outing, they only drew 1-1 on their visit to bottom-dwellers Cheltenham. 

Derby have been hit by many injury problems in the first few months of the season but most of the important players seem ready to return now. 

Striker Waghorn is expected to overcome a minor knock on time. Hourihane and Bird are over their injury problems and both can start again in midfield. Another key player is right-winger Ward. He’s been out since early August but has resumed training recently and he too could be an option soon.  

Predicted Lineup: 

Wildsmith (GK), Cashin, Nelson, Forsyth, Mendez-Laing, Smith, Bird, Hourihane, Barkuizen, Waghorn & Collins 

​Starting Lineups

The teams usually announce their starting lineups one hour before the start of the game.

​Player to Watch: Connor Hourihane

Derby's star playmaker Connor Hourihane missed a few games injured but he is ready to return now. Hourihane already accumulated 2 goals and 4 assists in the league, this in just 9 appearances. 

His return should bring an extra edge to the Rams and Hourihane is a player who always looks to impact the game with his passing abilities and excellent shooting skills from a distance. 


Iskra had a promising, at least she believed so, tennis and volleyball career as a junior but a series of injuries ended her hopes to become a professional athlete very early. Instead, she focused all her energy on her other passions - soccer scouting and sports writing. For nearly two decades, Iskra had been a freelance sports writer. Football, basketball and tennis are the main fields of her expertise. She has dined with kings, queens and some of the most famous sports figures of the past and the present. Iskra is also a member of the largest independent union of investigative journalists. She has minority ownership at several sports clubs and has been actively involved with the creation of FIFA [Freelance Isn't Free Act] and its passing as official legislation.