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US Pays de Cassel - PSG
France Cup
5th Round
Prediction 1
Under 5.5 goals
4/5 (1.80)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Pays de Cassel +4 Handicap
7/4 (2.75)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Pays de Cassel play host to French giants PSG in the Coupe de France on Monday January 23rd.
Pays de Cassel vs PSG: Our top betting predictions
You'll be hard pressed to find shorter prices than what PSG are set at for this game with the Ligue 1 leaders enormous odds on favourites to win. Will the breeze it or will Pays de Cassel create one of the best memories of all time by upsetting their visitors? Find out with our Pays de Cassel vs PSG match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
A maximum of five goals
This game may well feature a few goals but we're banking on there being fewer than 5.5 goals. None of Pays de Cassel's recent Coupe de France games have gone over that 5.5 threshold whilst each of PSG's last seven competitive games have gone under that threshold as well with their game average of 3.1 nowhere close to 5.5 goals.
PSG won't overcome a huge handicap
The bookies fancy PSG to absolute romp this match but our second prediction is one that opposes that thinking. We're backing Pays de Cassel to come out on top in this game with a +4 handicap applied; that sounds like a huge number but the odds are still really attractive and we have a logic to our tip. So much of the PSG to win odds will be based on the sort of lineup PSG are capable of putting out. We don't think PSG will name anything like a full strength lineup and that will likely lengthen their odds immediately when teams are announced. A much weakened PSG team against a Pays de Cassel side that will be hoping to put in a performance of a lifetime makes a +4 handicap sound more than reasonable for the hosts whilst the odds on offer for such a bet supercharge it!
Here are the key stats & form guide for Pays de Cassel vs PSG
Last Five - US Pays de Cassel
23/01/23
France Cup France
PSG
US Pays de Cassel
7
0
L
14/01/23
France Cup France
Wasquehal
US Pays de Cassel
1 (4)
1 (5)
W
Last Five - PSG
01/02/23
France Ligue 1 LI1
Montpellier
PSG
1
3
W
29/01/23
France Ligue 1 LI1
Reims
PSG
1
1
D
23/01/23
France Cup France
US Pays de Cassel
PSG
0
7
W
19/01/23
Elite Club Friendlies Elite
Saudi Riyadh XI
PSG
4
5
W
15/01/23
France Ligue 1 LI1
Rennes
PSG
1
0
L
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.
Pays de Cassel odds: 40/1 (41.00) – 2%
Draw odds: 15/1 (16.00) – 6%
PSG odds: 1/100 (1.01) – 99%
You don't need to be a rocket scientist to realise that the odds on a PSG win are not good value. That being said, 40/1 on a home win isn't exactly good value either. As such, you'll be better off avoiding the straight match result market entirely. Instead, we'd recommend getting into some of the larger handicap markets where PSG are still marginally odds on – albeit much more attractive that at 1/100 (1.01) with a handicap of -4 applied. The total goals and both teams to score markets are another couple of options you could look to exploit.
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Pays de Cassel vs PSG
Pays de Cassel
Pays de Cassel don't need a miracle to get a result in this game but it won't be far off that level of divine intervention for them to hold – or even beat – PSG. There is no question that they'll be naming their strongest available lineup and it's highly likely to be a heavily defensive one too.
Predicted lineup – Samson, Santrain, Zmijak, Rapaille, Thoor, Leclerc, Delcourt, Bogdanski, Boudjema, Leganase, Sane
PSG
PSG will expect to breeze through this game regardless of what team they name and that means there is next to zero chance that the likes of Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi are risked. Instead, we'll likely see a team of fringe players and youngsters.
Predicted lineup – Navas, Bernat, Bitshiabu, Marquinhos, Mukiele, Vitinha, Gharbi, Zaire-Emery, Soler, Sarabia, Ekitike
Starting Lineups
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
With the usual star names likely to be, at best, on the bench for PSG we're forced to dig a little deeper for a player to watch. Our recommendation is their young striker Hugo Ekitike. Ekitike hasn't been blessed with loads of minutes this season with just 13 league appearances under his belt but his scoring record in recent weeks has been very good. His last five games, in all competitions, have seen him bag four goals.
A quickfire FAQ on Pays de Cassel vs PSG
- Where is the match being played? – Stade Bollaert Delelis
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – PSG are enormous favourites
- What time does the match kick off? 19:45 GMT
