Netherlands vs Italy Women prediction, odds & betting tips – 12/07/2024

Netherlands vs Italy Women prediction, odds & betting tips – 12/07/2024
Sherida Spitse of the Netherlands in action during the European Championship qualifying match against Finalnd - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Four of the last five meetings between these two countries have produced under 2.5 goals

The Netherlands play host to Italy in the penultimate round of fixtures in the Women's Euro 2025 qualifiers on Friday night and we're predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the pair.

The Dutch top League A Group 1 with seven points but both Italy and Norway are close behind on five points while the bottom side Finland have four points meaning that any of the four teams could still make it to Switzerland next summer.

Netherlands vs Italy Women prediction: A low-scoring affair?

Key Stats

  • Each of the Netherlands' last five matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Italy's last six outings.
  • Both of these teams played out 1-1 draws in their last qualifying matches.

Correct score prediction: Netherlands 1-1 Italy

The Netherlands haven't scored more than one goal in any of their qualifying matches so far and Italy have only failed to find the back of the net in two of their last six fixtures.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds not yet available

  • HOME: N/A
  • DRAW: N/A
  • AWAY: N/A

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five meetings between these two nations have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats apiece with Italy claiming a 2-0 victory in the pair's reverse Euro 2025 qualifier back in April.

Womens Euro Championships Qual 05/04/24

Italy Women

Italy Women

2
Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

0

Womenu2021s International 10/06/21

Italy Women

Italy Women

1
Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

0

Women's World Cup 29/06/19

Italy Women

Italy Women

0
Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

2

Women's World Cup Qual 27/11/14

Italy Women

Italy Women

1
Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

2

Women's World Cup Qual 22/11/14

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

1
Italy Women

Italy Women

1

Netherlands preview: Need to start scoring more goals

The Netherlands were away at Finland for their last qualifier in early June where an early goal from Lineth Beerensteyn looked like it might prove enough to secure all three points.

However, the hosts managed to get back onto level terms in the 77th minute and the game ended in a 1-1 draw, a result that keeps League A Group 1 wide open.

The Dutch have scored three goals in their four Euro 2025 qualifiers and all of them have been scored by Beerensteyn.

Predicted lineup: van Domselaar (GK), Janssen, Wilms, Spitse, van de Donk, Groenen, Pelova, Jansen, Martens, Beerensteyn & Grant

Womens Euro Championships Qual 16/07/24

D

Norway Women

Norway Women

1

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

1

Womens Euro Championships Qual 12/07/24

D

Italy Women

Italy Women

0

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

0

Womens Euro Championships Qual 04/06/24

D

Finland Women

Finland Women

1

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

1

Womens Euro Championships Qual 31/05/24

W

Finland Women

Finland Women

0

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

1

Womens Euro Championships Qual 09/04/24

W

Norway Women

Norway Women

0

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

1

Italy preview: Will overtake the Dutch with a win

Italy had the home advantage against Norway last time out and took the lead after just five minutes through Manuela Giugliano's eighth goal for her country.

That strike looked like being enough to win the game but much like the Netherlands, Italy conceded late on and had to settle for a share of the spoils.

The Italians have scored four goals in qualifying so far but each has been scored by a different player, none by the squad's current top scorer, and captain, Cristiana Girelli who has 54 goals in 104 caps.

Predicted lineup: Giuliani (GK), Bartoli, Linari, Lenzini, Di Guglielmo, Giugliano, Caruso, Dragoni, Bonansea, Giacinti & Bonfantini

Womens Euro Championships Qual 16/07/24

W

Finland Women

Finland Women

0

Italy Women

Italy Women

4

Womens Euro Championships Qual 12/07/24

D

Netherlands Women

Netherlands Women

0

Italy Women

Italy Women

0

Womens Euro Championships Qual 04/06/24

D

Norway Women

Norway Women

1

Italy Women

Italy Women

1

Womens Euro Championships Qual 31/05/24

D

Norway Women

Norway Women

0

Italy Women

Italy Women

0

Womens Euro Championships Qual 09/04/24

L

Finland Women

Finland Women

2

Italy Women

Italy Women

1

Player to watch – Lineth Beerensteyn

We've highlighted Lineth Beerensteyn of the Netherlands as our player to watch in this game as she is the only player to score for her county in the Euro 2025 qualifiers so far.

Lineth Beerensteyn player to watch
Lineth Beerensteyn of the Netherlands in action during the European Championship qualifying match against Finland – Photo by Icon Sport

The 27-year-old Wolfsburg forward has 106 caps and 35 goals for her country and has been the only outlet for the Netherlands so far despite having the talented Vivianne Miedema of Manchester City in their side who has scored an amazing 95 goals in 118 games at international level.

The only player to score for the Netherlands in the Euro 2025 qualifiers

Beerensteyn spent time in Italy with Juventus and we're backing the well travelled striker to help guide the Dutch to a decent result against a talented Italian side.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things