Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/05/2024

17/05/24 - 19:45

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Fiorentina - Napoli

Italy Serie A - Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina welcome dethroned champions Napoli to the Stadio Artemio Franchi for a Serie A fixture on Friday, 17 May. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction: La Viola to make home advantage count

Key Stats

• Fiorentina have won three of their last four fixtures in Serie A.
• Napoli have failed to win eight of their last nine matches in the division.
• Both teams found the net in eight of Fiorentina’s last nine home tussles in Serie A.
• Fiorentina’s Nicolás González has scored three times in his last two Serie A appearances.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies siding with hosts

• HOME: 27/20 (2.35) – 42.6%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fiorentina (8^th) are just one place and two points ahead of Napoli (9^th) ahead of the teams’ tussle in Florence on Friday evening, though La Viola have been priced as 27/20 favourites to win by the bookies for a good reason.

The visitors have won only once in their last nine attempts in Serie A, while Fiorentina emerged with maximum points from three of their last four games in the division. Form is with the more confident hosts here and our top betting tips have backed Fiorentina to pile on more misery for the former champions.

Last five H2Hs: Results have been mixed

Italy Super Cup 18/01/24

Napoli

3

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 08/10/23

Napoli

1

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 07/05/23

Napoli

1

Fiorentina

0

Italy Serie A 28/08/22

Fiorentina

0

Napoli

0

Italy Serie A 10/04/22

Napoli

2

Fiorentina

3

Napoli eased to a 3-0 win over Fiorentina when the teams last met in January in Naples, though La Viola came out on top in three of the five meetings between the clubs before that.

Fiorentina preview: Hosts at close to full strength

Riccardo Sottil is listed as Fiorentina's only injury concern at present and manager Vincenzo Italiano should be able to name the crux of the XI that came from behind to beat Monza 2-1 last time out.

Predicted lineup: Terracciano – Kayode, Martinez Quarta, Milenkovic, Parisi – Mandragora, Arthur, Gonzalez, Barak, Castrovilli – M'Bala Nzola

Italy Serie A 01/09/24

D

Monza

2

Fiorentina

2

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24

W

Puskas Academy

1 (4)

Fiorentina

1 (5)

Italy Serie A 25/08/24

D

Venezia

0

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League Qualifying 22/08/24

D

Puskas Academy

3

Fiorentina

3

Italy Serie A 17/08/24

D

Parma

1

Fiorentina

1

Napoli preview: Zielinski a key absentee

Mario Rui and Piotr Zielinski will sit out Friday's game through injury. The Partenopei's dramatic fall from grace continued last weekend when they were comfortably beaten 2-0 by highflying Bologna.

Predicted lineup: Meret – Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Jesus, Olivera – Anguissa, Lobotka, Cajuste – Politano, Kvaratskhelia, Osimhen

Italy Serie A 31/08/24

W

Parma

1

Napoli

2

Italy Serie A 25/08/24

W

Bologna

0

Napoli

3

Italy Serie A 18/08/24

L

Verona

3

Napoli

0

Coppa Italia 10/08/24

W

Modena

0 (3)

Napoli

0 (4)

Elite Club Friendlies 03/08/24

L

Girona

2

Napoli

0

Player to watch – Nicolás González

Nicolás González pounced to score one of Fiorentina’s two goals against Monza in La Viola’s 2-1 victory over their opponents last weekend and the winger’s effort pushed him into double figures for the Serie A campaign.

González to sparkle again?

26-year-old González, who has been linked with a move to the Premier League before, has found the net four times in his last four appearances at the Stadio Artemio Franchi for his club and his knack for scoring in Florence makes him a dangerous prospect for Napoli on Friday.