Finished
5
-0
FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana
Copa Libertadores - Estadio de la UNSA
5th Round
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
Two teams that don't have very high chances of reaching the next stage will meet in the next round of Copa Libertadores on Wednesday, June 7th, when Melgar will host Patronato. This is our preview of the game, along with our free football betting tips for it.
Our Latest Melgar vs Patronato Predictions and Picks
If you're looking for reliable Copa Libertadores predictions, like our Melgar vs Patronato betting tips, we can help you out:
Contents
Melgar to Win
While Melgar only has one point this season in Copa Libertadores, Patronato is not much better with three points. However, those three points Patronato won by beating Melgar and quite convincingly, 4-1.
Despite that, we expect a different outcome here and our first Melgar vs Patronato prediction is for the home team to win the game. After all, Melgar will chase the win since they can still finish third and get a spot in Copa Sudamericana and we believe they can get it in front of their fans, against a team that plays in Argentinian second division.
Over 2.5 Total Goals
As we already mentioned, we saw five goals in the first duel between these two teams in Copa Libertadores group stages, which is one of the main reasons why our second Melgar vs Patronato prediction is for the match to go over 2.5 total goals.
Furthermore, Melgar averaged 3.00 goals per game in Copa Libertadores so far, while Patronato averaged 2.75 goals per game in group stages of the best continental competition in South America.
Top Odds and Useful Stats for Melgar vs Patronato
If you are looking for the best Melgar vs Patronato odds, check our selection of odds from various UK bookies:
Head to Head
04/05/23
Copa Libertadores LIB
Patronato Parana
FBC Melgar
4
1
Last Five - FBC Melgar
27/08/23
Peru Primera Division Peru
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
3
1
L
19/08/23
Peru Primera Division Peru
Cusco FC
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
15/08/23
Peru Primera Division Peru
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
12/08/23
Peru Primera Division Peru
Cesar Vallejo
FBC Melgar
1
2
W
06/08/23
Peru Primera Division Peru
Universitario de Deportes
FBC Melgar
1
0
L
Last Five - Patronato Parana
26/08/23
Argentina Nacional B Argentina
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Patronato Parana
2
1
L
25/07/23
Argentina Cup Argentina
Argentinos Jrs
Patronato Parana
2
1
L
19/07/23
Copa Sudamericana SUD
Botafogo
Patronato Parana
1
1
D
15/07/23
Argentina Nacional B Argentina
Gimnasia Mendoza
Patronato Parana
0
1
W
12/07/23
Copa Sudamericana SUD
Botafogo
Patronato Parana
2
0
L
Now is a good time to look at some of the top markets and odds for this game:
Melgar odds: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.90% Probability
Draw odds: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.30% Probability
Patronato odds: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00% Probability
It is evident from these odds that Melgar are the expected winners of this game with a 57.90% win probability. Meanwhile, the main favourite to become the First Goalscorer is Bernardo Cuesta at 4/1 (5.00) odds, which comes to a 20.00% probability. Also, the most likely Correct Score in this duel is a 1-0 Melgar win, at 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%.
Melgar – Patronato Preview: Team News, Recent Form, and Possible Lineups
You can read all the latest updates and news on both teams here, including the most likely Melgar vs Patronato lineups:
Melgar
While Melgar has done well recently in their domestic championship, they are currently sitting in the eleventh place in the standings in the Peruvian league due to their poor form at the start of the league. The team is also last in their Copa Libertadores group with just one point from four matches, but a win over Patronato would allow they to overtake them in third place and put them in a good position to continue the season in Copa Sudamericana.
When it comes to team news, Tomas Martinez remains questionable for this game with an injury, while Paolo Reyna and Luis Iberico will definitely remain on the sidelines.
Melgar Predicted Lineups:
Caceda – Archimbaud, Galeano, Deneumostier – Bordacahar, Orzan, Cabrera, Tandazo, Cavero – Cuesta, D'Arrigo
Patronato
Despite the fact that they are currently in the second tier in Argentina, Patronato is playing in Copa Libertadores. Furthermore, Patronato is in the eleventh place in the standings in Primera Nacional and unlikely to return to the top flight this season. However, in Copa Libertadores they are third in their group, with a small chance to get to the next stage and a bit bigger chance to finish in third place and claim a spot in Copa Sudamericana Top 16 phase.
Meanwhile, Patronato did not report any fresh injury concerns, so we will likely see their best side in the upcoming duel with Melgar.
Patronato Predicted Lineups:
Salva – Ruiz Diaz, Ojeda, Gonzalez, Cobos – Domingo, Chamorro – Solis, Barinaga, Esquivel – Levato
Starting Lineups
Teams often release their starting lineups an hour ahead of the kickoff.
FBC Melgar
Patronato Parana
Player to Watch: Cristian Bordacahar
We said that we expect Melgar to win this match, so our player to watch comes from the home side and it is their experienced forward Cristian Bordacahar.
The Argentinian striker has been more prolific as a packer than scorer this season, with two goals and four assists in the domestic league and two assists in Copa Libertadores. Still, he has the quality to make a difference against Patronato.
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