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Grimsby - Luton
England FA Cup - Blundell Park
Prediction 1
Luton to win
16/17 (1.94)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
BTTS - No
10/11 (1.91)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Here we bring you FA Cup betting tips for Grimsby vs Luton with the game due to take place on Tuesday 7th February.
Grimsby vs Luton: Our top betting predictions
It is tough to know how Grimsby will really feel about the previous meeting between these two. On one hand, they earned a replay against a superior side but, on the other, there was a time when it looked like their game to win. Can they get it over the line back in front of their own fans? Find out with our Grimsby vs Luton match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
Championship side to come out on top
Sorry Grimsby fans, our first prediction backs Luton to win here. The heart tells us a story of an underdog taking higher opposition back to their patch where giant killings happen but, in our head, we know Luton are familiar with what these ‘lesser' grounds feel like both in respect of the facilities and atmosphere whilst the quality of playing squad is vastly different with the Hatters a better all round side. Put that together with the fact there will be no complacency following the first leg and Luton win barring a near perfect Grimsby display and an off night from themselves. We just don't see it.
Both teams will not score
The previous meeting to set up this relay might have ended 2-2 but that was out of character for both of these sides and we can't see a repeat. That's why we are predicting this game features a clean sheet. Grimsby have seen four of their last five games end with at least one side failing to score whilst Luton have only seen both teams bag goals in three of their past five outings. Putting aside that recent clash, the prior two head to head games has ended with at least one team fluffing their lines in front of goal too.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Grimsby vs Luton
Head to Head
28/01/23
England FA Cup FA Cup
Luton
Grimsby
2
2
27/01/18
England League 2 England
Grimsby
Luton
0
1
23/12/17
England League 2 England
Luton
Grimsby
2
0
04/02/17
England League 2 England
Grimsby
Luton
1
1
10/09/16
England League 2 England
Luton
Grimsby
1
2
Last Five - Grimsby
28/03/23
England League 2 England
Crawley Town
Grimsby
1
1
D
25/03/23
England League 2 England
Walsall
Grimsby
1
1
D
22/03/23
England League 2 England
Mansfield
Grimsby
0
0
D
19/03/23
England FA Cup FA Cup
Brighton
Grimsby
5
0
L
14/03/23
England League 2 England
Sutton Utd
Grimsby
0
1
W
Last Five - Luton
01/04/23
England Championship CHA
Watford
Luton
0
2
W
18/03/23
England Championship CHA
Sunderland
Luton
1
1
D
15/03/23
England Championship CHA
Bristol City
Luton
0
1
W
11/03/23
England Championship CHA
Sheff Utd
Luton
0
1
W
04/03/23
England Championship CHA
Swansea
Luton
0
1
W
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.
Grimsby odds: 14/5 (3.80) – 26%
Draw odds: 13/5 (3.60) – 28%
Luton odds: 16/17 (1.94) – 52%
Forget what happened last time out there will be loads of takers for Luton to win this game when they're priced up as shown above; that's a good value price. Grimsby and the draw, however, are somewhat less enticing – albeit those outcomes are not impossibilities. Another market that might attract intrigue is the total goals market. The over 2.5 betting option is priced at even money (2.00). Given the last clash ended 2-2 a few might bite at that!
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Grimsby vs Luton
Grimsby
Grimsby performed admirably well in the clash at Kenilworth Road and a similar lineup should be expected here. With home fans on their side, expect a real ‘leave it all out there' type display as they lineup in a 5-4-1 formation with the aim of frustrating Luton whilst posing a threat on the break.
Predicted lineup – Crocombe, Driscoll-Glennon, Maher, Waterfall, Smith, Efete, Holohan, Hunt, Morris, Cliton, Dadomo
Luton
Luton went fairly strong in the previous encounter and we expect them to do the same here with a potential trip to face Southampton – and former boss Nathan Jones – awaiting in the next round. One player that won't be in the team this time though is Harry Cornick; he's no longer a Luton player.
Predicted lineup – Horvath, Osho, Lockyer, Potts, Doughty, Clark, Campbell, Mpanzu, Bell, Adebayo, Morris
Starting Lineups
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
Our player to watch in this game is Luton's Carlton Morris. He's likely to start this game where previously Cornick would have played but, make no mistake, it's not a big downgrade. Morris has provided 16 goal contributions so far this season with 11 goals and five assist. He could be key to breaking down a stubborn home backline.
A quickfire FAQ on Grimsby vs Luton
- Where is the match being played? – Blundell Park
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Luton
- What time does the match kick-off? 19:45 GMT
- Who won the last H2H encounter? Prior to their 2-2 draw at the end of January that forced this replay, these sides last met in League Two back in January 2018. It was a low-scoring result that finished 0-1 in favour of Luton Town. Despite being a man down for the duration of the game, James Collins' second-half strike was enough to get the over the line.
- What was Grimsby's last league result? Grimsby were on the road against Crewe Alexandria. They secured an impressive 0-3 result at Crewe's expense at the Alexandra Stadium in front of 4,460 fans. John McAtee opened the scoring in the third minute with George Lloyd doubling their lead just after the half-hour mark. Thomas Dickson-Peters completed the rout from the bench, scoring the third goal in the 84th minute to seal the affair.
