Japan vs Costa Rica Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 27/11/2022

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Japan and Costa Rica will meet in the second round of Group E on Sunday, November 27th and we expect to see a very interesting game. So, let's take a closer look at the match and what we can expect from it.

Japan vs Costa Rica World Cup 2022 Prediction

Japan caused a big shock when they defeated the four-time World Champions Germany in their opening game of Group E and have put themselves in with a great chance of qualifying for the knockout stage. Costa Rica were thrashed 7-0 by Spain in their first match of the 2022 World Cup, offering nothing going forward or defensively, but will they bounce back against Japan? Check our free betting tips to find out.

Japan to Win

After an impressive performance against Germany, Japan enters this match with a chance to basically secure a place in the second round with a win, while Costa Rica will need a miracle to progress after their convincing loss to Spain.

In addition to their first-round performances, Japan is the better team of the two on paper and we expect them to prove it in this match by beating Costa Rica, just like they did in the last two h2h duels against them.

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Over 2.5 Goals

Both Japan and Costa Rica have gone over 2.5 total goals in their first matches in the group stages, so we won't be surprised if their duel ends up being another high-scoring affair.

In any case, we also relied on h2h meetings between Japan and Costa Rica for our next predictions and since both of their recent duels have gone over 2.5 total goals, we can see that tradition continuing in Qatar as well. After all, both teams will go for a win in this game and that can lead to us seeing a high-scoring game.

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Japan vs Costa Rica – Top odds and key stats

Head to Head

11/09/18

International Match International

Japan

Costa Rica

3

0

03/06/14

International Match International

Costa Rica

Japan

1

3

Last Five - JapanJapan

05/12/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Croatia

Croatia

Japan

Japan

1 (3)

1 (1)

L

01/12/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Spain

Spain

Japan

Japan

1

2

W

27/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

Japan

Japan

1

0

L

23/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Germany

Germany

Japan

Japan

1

2

W

17/11/22

International Match International

Canada

Canada

Japan

Japan

2

1

L

Last Five - Costa RicaCosta Rica

01/12/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Germany

Germany

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

4

2

L

27/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Japan

Japan

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

1

W

23/11/22

World Cup 2022 WC2022

Spain

Spain

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

7

0

L

10/11/22

International Match International

Nigeria

Nigeria

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

2

W

27/09/22

International Match International

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

1

2

W

The two teams enter this match in different moods after Japan shocked Germany in the first round, while Costa Rica was trashed by Spain in a match in which they conceded seven goals and failed to score. With that in mind, let's check out the average odds for this game and what they tell us:

  • Japan odds: 12/25 (1.48)
  • Draw odds: 17/5 (4.40)
  • Costa Rica odds: 39/5 (8.80)

It's pretty obvious when we look at the odds that Japan is the clear favourite to win the match, which was expected after their win over Germany. In any case, their win probability is 67.6% ahead of this game. On the other hand, the win probability for Costa Rica is only 11.4%, while the average odds for a draw imply a probability of 22.7%.

In terms of goals, the average odds on under 2.5 total goals are 9/11 (1.82), which is a probability of 55%. Meanwhile, the average odds on over 2.5 total goals are 11/10 (2.10), which comes to a 47.6%  probability. So, it seems that it's pretty tough for bookies to determine what could happen when it comes to goals in this game.

Lastly, if you want to check out some of the highest odds for Japan vs Costa Rica, you should take a look at correct score odds. The average odds for this market suggest that the most likely correct scores are 1-0, 2-0, and 2-1 to Japan.

Previous Meetings

The last time these two teams met was four years ago and Japan dominated that game, winning 3-0. In fact, the only other relatively recent meeting between Japan and Costa Rica happened in 2014 and Japan once again put three goals past Costa Rica. So, while these matches weren't very close, a pattern is clear and Japan can be pleased with the h2h record here.

Can Costa Rica put up a better performance and surprise Japan?

Japan

Japan never gave Germany a moment's peace, chasing down any opposing player that had the ball and creating unrest amongst the German ranks. However, Germany showed their class at times, creating chances of their own but were let down by their finishing. A penalty from Gundogan saw Germany take a 1-0 advantage into the halftime break but Japan came out for the second forty-five with the same mentality, and it paid off.

After making a couple of crucial substitutions, Japan finally got back onto level terms in the 75th-minute when sub Doan was in the right place at the right time to fire home from close range. The German defence seemed to be struggling with the pace and movement of the Japanese forwards and that led to the underdogs' winning the game after Asano scored late in it.

Japan Predicted Lineup:

Gonda – Tomiyasu, Itakura, Yoshida, Nagatomo – Endo, Tanaka – Ito, Kamada, Kubo – Asano

Costa Rica

Costa Rica put in one of the worst-ever World Cup performances as they were thrashed 7-0 by Spain in their opening group game. Spain didn't have to work hard for any of their goals, though, they did create and finish their chances with great quality and were pleasing on the eye throughout. Costa Rica didn't seem to want to attack and couldn't defend to save their lives and now they have to beat Japan to stand any chance of remaining in the World Cup passed the group stage.

On the bright side, Costa Rica doesn't have any injury concerns ahead of their next game, but their head coach might decide to make a few changes after that horrific performance against Spain.

Costa Rica Predicted Lineup:

Navas – Waston, Calvo, Duarte, Oviedo – Tejeda, Borges – Bennette, Fuller – Campbell, Contreras

Frequent questions for Spain vs Costa Rica

Japan - Costa Rica

  • Where can I watch the game? ITV, STV, ITVX, STV Player.
  • Where is this game being played? – Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium (Al Rayyan Stadium) in Ar-Rayyan.
  • What time is the kick-off? – 10:00 UK, 11:00 CET.