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The European champions step out onto the field for the first time since defeating England on penalties in the final of Euro 2020 and their fans will be expecting a comfortable victory at home to Bulgaria. The visitors have struggled in qualifying so far and are yet to secure a win, so a trip to Italy is likely to produce yet another loss.

Italy vs Bulgaria: Top Three Predictions

All of our tips contain no bias and have been researched using the latest stats and figures available at the time of publication.

*Odds from Netbet are subject to change

Italy Win-to-Nil

Italy have won four of their last six matches against Bulgaria and have kept clean sheets in each of those victories. Bulgaria have lost four of their last six international matches and have failed to score in four of their last five fixtures, so you can see why we're fully expecting Italy to win and keep a clean sheet on Thursday.

Under 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5 goals have been produced in five of the last seven encounters between these two countries, which includes each of Italy's last four wins against the visitors. Under 2.5 goals have also been scored in three of Italy's last five outings as well as in four of Bulgaria's last five fixtures so despite the obvious quality gap between the pair, we're not expecting lots of goals in this qualifier.

2-0 to Italy

In terms of a final scoreline, we're predicting a comfortable 2-0 victory for Italy on Thursday. The hosts haven't scored more than two goals in any of their last five matches and have kept two clean sheets during that period. Bulgaria have only conceded more than two goals in one of their last five matches but have failed to score in four of their last five fixtures.

Stats, Markets & Odds for Italy vs Bulgaria

Europe - World Cup Qualifying
Italy odds
VS
odds Bulgaria
September 2, 2021
No odds currently available - check again later

Italy vs Bulgaria

flash Head to Head

02/09/21
E-WCQ
Italy odds
odds
Italy
1 - 1
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
28/03/21
E-WCQ
Bulgaria odds
odds
Bulgaria
0 - 2
odds Italy
odds
Italy
06/09/15
E2Q
Italy odds
odds
Italy
1 - 0
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
28/03/15
E2Q
Bulgaria odds
odds
Bulgaria
2 - 2
odds Italy
odds
Italy

Italy

Last 5

08/09/21
E-WCQ
Italy odds
odds
Italy
5 - 0
odds Lithuania
odds
Lithuania
05/09/21
E-WCQ
Switzerland odds
odds
Switzerland
0 - 0
odds Italy
odds
Italy
11/07/21
Euro2020
Italy odds
odds
Italy
1 - 1
odds England
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England
06/07/21
Euro2020
Italy odds
odds
Italy
1 - 1
odds Spain
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Spain
02/07/21
Euro2020
Belgium odds
odds
Belgium
1 - 2
odds Italy
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Italy

Bulgaria

Last 5

08/09/21
IM
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
4 - 1
odds Georgia
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Georgia
05/09/21
E-WCQ
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
1 - 0
odds Lithuania
odds
Lithuania
08/06/21
IM
odds France
odds
France
3 - 0
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
05/06/21
IM
odds Russia
odds
Russia
1 - 0
odds Bulgaria
odds
Bulgaria
01/06/21
IM
odds Slovakia
odds
Slovakia
1 - 1
odds Bulgaria
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Bulgaria

The European champions are the overwhelming favourites to beat Bulgaria

Belotti and Spinazzola, who both played their part in the Euro 2020 success, have missed out on the World Cup qualifying squad for one reason or another. The ageing Chiellini and Monucci remain in the side but there are a couple of uncapped players, in the form of Gollini and Scamacca, that have been called-up. New PSG goalkeeper Donnarumma will start in goal and the back four is likely to look very similar to the one that played the majority of Euro 2020. Locatelli impressed for Italy in the summer and earned a move to Juventus and Pessina, who also made an impact at Euro 2020, will be hoping to start the game. Three Juventus forwards have been selected and they include Chiesa, Bernardeschi and Kean.

Bulgaria have gone with a relatively inexperienced squad for these qualifiers with their highest capped player, Levski Sofia goalkeeper Nikolay Mihaylov, only having 39-caps to his name. The visitors are trying to build a new younger side that can hopefully qualify for major international tournaments in the future but for now, they still look very average and don't really have any household names.

Italy vs Bulgaria – Q&A

italy vs bulgaria prediction

  • Who will win the game? – Italy are the big favourites and have the home advantage.
  • Where are these teams in their qualifying group? – Italy top Group C with three wins out of three, while Bulgaria sit in 4th spot with just 1pt to their name.
  • What time is kick-off? – 19:45 GMT, 20:45 CET.

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