Germany vs Scotland prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/06/2024

The 2024 European Championship kicks off on Friday as the hosts Germany take on Steve Clarke's Scotland in Munich.

Julian Nagelsmann are the clear favourite to top Group A and will be expected, by most, to get off to a winning start against The Tartan Army in the tournament's curtain raiser.

Scotland are huge outsiders to win Euro 2024 and are going to have to put in some very strong defensive performances if they are to qualify from the group stage for the very first time in their history.

Germany vs Scotland prediction: A winning start for Die Mannschaft?

Key Stats

  • Germany have won seven of their previous ten encounters with Scotland.
  • The hosts haven't scored more than two goals in any of their last seven internationals but have kept clean sheets in two of their last four matches.
  • Scotland have conceded at least two goals in four of their last six fixtures and have failed to score in two of their last four outings.
  • Kai Havertz has scored 16 goals in 46 caps for Germany, scoring in three of his last six appearances for his country.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the Scots

    • HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
    • DRAW: 27/5 (6.40) – 15.6%
    • AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Germany are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 76.9%, and it's hard to disagree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Germany dominant

Die Mannschaft have picked up three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five games against Scotland, running out 3-2 winners when the pair last locked horns in 2015.

Euro 2015 Qualifying 07/09/15

Scotland

Scotland

2
Germany

Germany

3

Euro 2014 Qualifying 07/09/14

Germany

Germany

2
Scotland

Scotland

1

Germany preview: Talented but ageing

Germany claimed a 2-1 victory in their final Euro 2024 warm-up game against Greece with Kai Havertz and Pascal Gross getting the goals.

Julian Nagelsmann's side is packed with talent but possibly lacks that star striker that we have become so accustomed to over the years, someone like Miroslav Klose, to go all the way and win Euro 2024.

Instead, it looks like either Kai Havertz will lead the line as a false number nine or the 31-year-old Niclas Füllkrug will start up front, and while the Dortmund striker has a great record for his country, 11 goals in 16 caps, he's not in the same league as Klose.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Rüdiger, Tah, Mittelstädt, Kroos, Gündoğan, Andrich, Kimmich, Havertz, Wirtz & Musiala

Euro 2024 05/07/24

L

Spain

Spain

2

Germany

Germany

1

Euro 2024 29/06/24

W

Denmark

Denmark

0

Germany

Germany

2

Euro 2024 23/06/24

D

Switzerland

Switzerland

1

Germany

Germany

1

Euro 2024 19/06/24

W

Hungary

Hungary

0

Germany

Germany

2

Euro 2024 14/06/24

W

Scotland

Scotland

1

Germany

Germany

5

Scotland preview: Lacking firepower up top

Steve Clarke's side drew 2-2 with Finland on Friday night before flying out to their training camp ahead of Euro 2024 but blew a two-goal lead late on.

When you look at the Scotland squad you can see that they have talent in defence and midfield that will make them tough to break down but lack talent between the sticks and in forward positions, so will probably be relying a lot on the likes of John McGinn and Scott McTominay to push forward and offer a goal threat.

Predicted lineup: Gunn (GK), Hanley, Robertson, Tierney, Hendry, Ralston, McGregor, McGinn, Christie, Gilmour & Shankland

Euro 2024 23/06/24

L

Hungary

Hungary

1

Scotland

Scotland

0

Euro 2024 19/06/24

D

Switzerland

Switzerland

1

Scotland

Scotland

1

Euro 2024 14/06/24

L

Germany

Germany

5

Scotland

Scotland

1

International Match 07/06/24

D

Finland

Finland

2

Scotland

Scotland

2

International Match 03/06/24

W

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

0

Scotland

Scotland

2

Player to watch – Toni Kroos

Toni Kroos will hang up his playing boots at the end of this tournament having already bowed out in style for his club side Real Madrid.

The 34-year-old will pick up his 110th cap for Germany if he plays against Scotland as expected and will be hoping to lead Die Mannschaft to glory in front of their own fans.

Toni Kroos player to watch
Toni Kroos of Germany in action against Greece – Photo by Icon Sport

Kroos played a key part in Real Madrid winning La Liga and the Champions League last season and will be hoping to have another major impact at Euro 2024 for his country. The deep-lying playmaker will be looking to control the tempo of the play for Germany as well as providing key passes forward, unlocking defences.

How will Kroos perform in his last dance?

The Real Madrid star does have an eye for goal and has scored 17 goals in 109 appearances for Germany, though, his last international goal arrived in 2020.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Germany

Scotland


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things