Euro 2024 Group Stage draw: Reaction and projected odds

In our Euro 2024 Group Stage draw update, we react to England's group, and analyse their odds of winning it, as well as tournament itself. The Three Lions were drawn in Group C along with Denmark, Slovenia and Serbia.

Euro 2024 Group Stage draw – Who is in England's group?

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Denmark

Denmark were drawn in England's group from pot two, which also contained Hungary, Turkey, Romania, Albania and Austria. Based on FIFA world rankings alone, the Danes (19th) were the hardest opponent England could have drawn from this pot.

They finished top of their qualifying group, and unlike the Three Lions, have won the Euros before, doing so in 1992 as a last-minute replacement for Yugoslavia. The two sides met in the semi-finals at Euro 2020, with Gareth Southgate's men edging the game 2-1 in extra-time, and will likely be England's biggest threat for top spot.

Slovenia celebrate vs Denmark
Ulrik Pedersen/Cal Sport Media/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

Slovenia

Based on FIFA rankings, Slovenia (54th) were the best-possible team England could have been drawn from pot three, which also contained the Netherlands, Scotland, Croatia, Slovakia and Czech Republic.

In qualifying, they finished on the same points as Denmark (22) in their group, only missing out on first place based on their H2H record. However, the Slovenians have a terrible H2H record against England (D1, L5), and have not qualified for the Euros since 2000, meaning that they may feel overawed in this group.

Photo by Predrag Milosavljevic/Xinhua – Photo by Icon sport

Serbia

Serbia were one of three teams that England knew they could definitely face from pot four, alongside Italy and Switzerland. Of these three, the Serbians are the lowest-ranked (34th) team in the FIFA rankings. The rest of the pot was made up of the three potential play-off winners: A, B and C.

Serbia second in their qualifying group, four points behind Hungary, and have qualified for their first Euros as a sole nation. Incidentally, England and Serbia have never met in a competitive match, and in their one friendly encounter in 2003, the Three Lions won 2-1.

Англия - Малта ТВ 1
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Will England qualify for the Euro 2024 knockout stage?

The group is fairly average in terms of difficulty when FIFA rankings are considered. Denmark were the highest-ranked team in pot two, while Slovenia were the lowest-ranked nation in pot three.

Serbia were the lowest-ranked of the three teams definitely in pot four, with some teams from the play-offs ranked higher and lower than them. There are no teams in this group that England should particularly fear, and they should be aiming to win it, although they will be especially aware of the test Denmark could propose having taken them to extra-time in Euro 2020, as well as a potential unknown in Serbia.

Germany Havertz teammates
A reunion with Germany potentially awaits if England fail to win their group (Photo by Icon sport)

Who might England play in the Round of 16?

If England win the group, they will play a third-placed team from either Group D, E or F. Based on FIFA rankings, this would likely be Austria, Slovakia or Czechia, or potentially a high-ranked play-off winner.

If England finish second, they will play the winner of Group A. Based on FIFA rankings, this would likely be the hosts Germany.

If English finish third, providing that they are one of the best third-placed teams, they will play the winner of either Group E or F. Based on FIFA rankings, this would likely be Belgium or Portugal.

Euro 2024 Group Winner odds

England are currently 1/2 favourites to win their group, with Denmark second-favourites at 9/2, Serbia third at 8/1, and Slovenia 20/1 outsiders.

In turn, the draw has meant that the Three Lions are now 7/2 favourites to win Euro 2024, and 13/8 joint-favourites to reach the final, along with France.


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Adam Clancy

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, of whom he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.