Euro 2024 Group A fixtures & predictions: Hosts to breeze through without fuss

Expectations are sky-high for Euro 2024 hosts Germany ahead of this summer’s tournament, though Die Mannschaft will need to leave their inconsistency behind to top Group A ahead of Scotland, Switzerland and Hungary.

The three-time winners and six-time finalists are listed as joint-third favourites to lift the famous Henri Delaunay Trophy again this year, though head coach Julian Nagelsmann will need to be at his sharpest from a tactical perspective to mastermind wins over a tough set of opponents in Group A.

Euro 2024 Group A winners prediction & group forecast

Germany expected to be Euro 2024 Group A winners
Germany's Kai Havertz finished the club campaign in fine form for Arsenal – Photo by Icon Sport

Group Winners – Germany

With home advantage to harness, most observers expect host nation Germany to push deep into the tournament’s knockout stage at Euro 2024, and anything other than a first-place finish in Group would be seen as something of a surprise.

While results for new head coach Julian Nagelsmann have been mixed so far (W3, D1, L2), victories over France and Netherlands during the March international break suggested some potential was finally being untapped, as the new-look 4-2-3-1 formation started to take shape.

With the legendary Toni Kroos coaxed out of international retirement and a solid supporting cast which includes Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rudiger, Ilkay Gundogan, Leroy Sane, Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz among others, Germany have quality in abundance.

An opening fixture against Scotland in Munich on June 14th should offer Germany an opportunity to start their campaign with a comfortable win, and they can build momentum from there.

Euro 2024 predictions
Liverpool's Dominik Szoboszlai is a key player for Hungary – Photo by Icon Sport

Runners Up – Hungary

Hungary topped their Euro 2024 qualification group unbeaten and ahead of Serbia, conceding just seven times in eight fixtures along the way. And while key trio Willi Orbán (RB Leipzig), Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) and Roland Sallai (Freiburg) are the star names, the side’s overall team ethic is their strongest trait.

Despite this, Marco Rossi’s Hungary are still only third-favourites to qualify from Group A behind Germany and Switzerland. Many underestimated the Magyars three years ago, however, and while they went out at the group stage in Euro 2020, draws against France and Germany gained them many neutral admirers.

Impressively, those draws against traditional heavyweights have turned into wins in the interim too, with victories over England in London and Germany in Leipzig giving them a sense of purpose not seen since the days of Ferenc Puskas.

Euro 2024 predictions
Switzerland's Granit Xhaka won the Bundesliga title with Bayer Leverkusen this season – Photo by Icon Sport

Third Place – Switzerland

With more major tournament experience to draw from, 2020 quarter-finalists Switzerland could have the edge over Scotland in the race to secure third spot.

It’s worth noting that of the four major tournaments that have featured 24 teams (three previous World Cups and Euro 2020), four points has been good enough on all but one occasion. However, we think Switzerland will struggle to amass that tally.

Murat Yakin’s side toiled for much of their qualification campaign, winning just four of their ten fixtures in their group before finishing second behind Romania. With a talented generation of players now on the wrong side of 30, and little in the way of new blood making an impact, Switzerland could find the going tough in Germany.

Euro 2024 prediction
Man Utd's Scott McTominay is a potent source of goals for Scotland – Photo by Icon Sport

Eliminated – Scotland

Scotland were beaten only once during in a qualification group they shared with Spain and Erling Haaland’s Norway. But their overreliance on seven-goal Scott McTominay in the final third was a worry, and their overall lack of punch in attack could hold them back at Euro 2024.

The Scots were eliminated at the Group Stage four years ago at Euro 2020 under Steve Clarke, and they could face a similar fate this summer, as the psychological burden that comes with never progressing from a group stage continues to grow.

In addition, Scotland’s form has fallen off a cliff since last September, and convincing defeats against England (1-3), Spain (0-2), France (0-4) and the Netherlands (1-4) during that spell bodes poorly for the Tartan Army ahead of Euro 2024.

England and Denmark are amongst Germany's potential Round of 16 opponents – Photo by Icon Sport

Group A Winners – Potential Round of 16 opponents

If Germany top Group A as expected, Die Mannschaft would be in line to meet the runner-up from Group C in the Round of 16 in Dortmund on June 29th. That might set them up to gain vengeance against England, three years to the day of a 2-0 Euro 2020 defeat inflicted on them by Gareth Southgate's men.

However, with England expected to finish at the summit of Group C, it will more likely be any one of the remaining three sides in that section – Slovenia, Denmark or Serbia. Denmark famously beat Germany in the 1992 European Championship Final, with the Germans just edging the H2Hs played since (W3, D3, L2).

Previous matches against the other two potential Round of 16 opponents are much more sparse, though Serbia memorably won the only prior competitive H2H against Germany 1-0 in the 2010 World Cup. Meanwhile, a 1-0 friendly win for Germany in 2005 represents their only previous meeting with Slovenia.

And going even further ahead, the hosts could then be paired with Spain in the competition’s quarter finals in Stuttgart on July 5th, in what would be a mouthwatering showdown at the MHPArena.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.