Brest vs Marseille prediction, odds & betting tips 18/02/2024

Brest
18/02/24 - 19:45

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Marseille

Brest - Marseille

France Ligue 1 - Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest vs Marseille prediction
Who will win the derby of the round in Ligue 1? – Photo by Johnny Fidelin/Icon Sport

Brest will host Marseille in the last and probably the most interesting match of Round 22 of Ligue 1, on Sunday, 18 February. Will Brest continue their fairytale season or will Marseille push them back to Earth? Learn more about it from our Brest vs Marseille prediction, but remember to also check out more of our top Ligue 1 predictions.

Brest vs Marseille prediction: Fight for a place in Europe

Brest vs Marseille predictions
Our pick

⚽ Double chance prediction

Brest or draw

⚽ Both teams to score prediction

Yes

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

While Brest have remained unbeaten in their last 10 games in Ligue 1, Marseille have failed to win in their last five matches. That being said, Marseille did draw in four of those games and they aren't that far behind Brest in the standings.

Pre-game odds and win probability: A very close matchup according to bookmakers

  • HOME: 14/9 (2.56) – 39.10%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.80%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Brest are fourth, Marseille eighth in Ligue 1 standings and the difference between them is seven points, so this is a very important duel when it comes to the battle for the top – and the odds reflect this.

Last five H2Hs: Very close record in recent years

France Ligue 1 26/08/23

Marseille

Marseille

2
Brest

Brest

0

France Ligue 1 27/05/23

Marseille

Marseille

1
Brest

Brest

2

France Ligue 1 14/08/22

Brest

Brest

1
Marseille

Marseille

1

France Ligue 1 13/03/22

Brest

Brest

1
Marseille

Marseille

4

France Ligue 1 04/12/21

Marseille

Marseille

1
Brest

Brest

2

In the last five H2H meetings between Brest and Marseille, we saw the two teams split a couple of wins each, along with one draw. Overall, Marseille has the better record – 14-6-8.

Team news and form guide

Brest: Ten games without a loss and counting

To the surprise of many, Brest are not letting down and they remain in the race for a place in Champions League. After all, they are undefeated in the last 10 games in Ligue 1 and they sit in the fourth place at the moment. When it comes to team news, Mahdi Camara and Marco Bizot are suspended for this match, while Martin Satriano and Jordan Amavi are injured.

Predicted LineupCoudert – Lala, Brassier, Chardonnet, Locko – Lees-Melou, Martin, Magnetti – Del Castillo, Mounie, Pereira Lage

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

Avranches

Avranches

0

Brest

Brest

2

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

W

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

Brest

Brest

3

France Ligue 1 10/05/24

D

Reims

Reims

1

Brest

Brest

1

France Ligue 1 04/05/24

D

Nantes

Nantes

0

Brest

Brest

0

France Ligue 1 28/04/24

W

Rennes

Rennes

4

Brest

Brest

5

Marseille: Looking for a win after six winless games in all competitions

While Marseille have just one loss in the last 10 games in Ligue 1, they are also without a win in their last five since they drew in four of those games. Overall, Marseille are eighth in the standings, but not too far behind teams that are fighting for European football. Ahead of the next game, Samuel Gigot is suspended, while Jordan Veretout, Amir Murillo, Bilal Nadir, and Valentin Rongier are on Marseille's injury list.

Predicted LineupLopez – Clauss, Mbemba, Balerdi, Merlin – Ounahi, Kondogbia, Harit – Sarr, Ndiaye, Aubameyang

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

W

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

Marseille

Marseille

2

France Ligue 1 15/05/24

L

Reims

Reims

1

Marseille

Marseille

0

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

W

Lorient

Lorient

1

Marseille

Marseille

3

UEFA Europa League 09/05/24

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

3

Marseille

Marseille

0

UEFA Europa League 02/05/24

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Marseille

Marseille

1

Our free expert picks: Lens to beat Reims in a game with three or more goals

In addition to the free betting tips for this game we'll provide, there are other interesting Reims vs Lens betting tips to explore here.

One of them is for both teams to score, which comes at 4/5 (1.80) odds and 55.60% probability. Another market to consider is for Lens to score the first goal at 21/20 (2.05) odds and 48.80% probability.

Hot tip – Brest to win or draw

  • Brest have lost just one of their 10 games at home in Ligue 1 so far.
  • Marseille have won just once away from home in the league in 10 matches.

Other tips

Both teams to score – yes

  • We saw both teams score in eight of the previous 10 H2H duels between these teams.
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Marseille's away games in the league.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to score at any time

  • Aubameyang has six goals in Ligue 1 this season, but he also has seven assists.
  • In nine games against Brest, Aubameyang has scored four goals.

Player to watch: Romain Del Castillo

With five goals and five assists in Ligue 1 this season, Romain Del Castillo is one of the key reasons for Brest's impressive run in the league and their push for place in Europe next season.

Romain Del Castillo
Another penalty goal from Del Castillo? – Photo by Daniel Derajinski/Icon Sport

Can Del Castillo score his first-ever goal against Marseille?

In previous seven matches against Marseille, Del Castillo failed to score, though he did notch a couple of assists. It seems that for that to happen, Brest need to get a penalty since 8 of 11 Del Castillo's goals in Ligue 1 during this and last season have come from the spot.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.