Finished 0 0 Guarani Asuncion - Botafogo Copa Sudamericana - Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres 4th Round
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
This article will focus on the Guarani vs Botafogo betting tips for the game on Wednesday, August 09th. This return leg promises to be exciting with the first clash last week decided only in the last minute.
Guarani vs Botafogo Prediction & Free Betting Tips
Guarani are in the knockout stages of the Copa Sudamericana for the first time and they have a 1-2 deficit to erase from the first leg of their tie vs Botafogo. The Paraguayans led at halftime in Brazil but a much poorer second-half showing saw them deservedly losing.
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Contents
Botafogo to Win
- Guarani lost 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions (W1 D1).
- Guarani have never progressed in any Copa Libertadores tie in the 21st century when they trailed after the first leg.
- Botafogo are unbeaten in 10 games (W6 D4).
- Botafogo are undefeated in their last 4 away Copa Sudamericana games (W2 D2).
Over 2.5 Goals
- there have been 3 or more goals in 3 of Guarani's last 5 games, including in the first leg of this tie.
- Botafogo saw 3 of their last 4 games go over 2.5 goals.
- Guarani saw 2 of their last 4 home games in Copa Sudamericana go over 2.5 goals; the other 2 games had 2 goals in them.
Guarani vs Botafogo Odds, H2H Stats, and Recent Form
Here are the top stats for the game along with a tool to help you pick the best odds.
02/08/23 Copa Sudamericana SUD Botafogo Guarani Asuncion 2 1 09/08/23 Copa Sudamericana SUD Botafogo Guarani Asuncion 0 0 D 06/08/23 Paraguay Division Profesional Paraguay Olimpia Asuncion Guarani Asuncion 5 3 L 02/08/23 Copa Sudamericana SUD Botafogo Guarani Asuncion 2 1 L 28/07/23 Paraguay Division Profesional Paraguay Nacional Asuncion Guarani Asuncion 1 1 D 21/07/23 Paraguay Division Profesional Paraguay Tacuary Guarani Asuncion 0 1 W 22/09/23 Brazil Serie A BSA Corinthians Botafogo 1 0 L 17/09/23 Brazil Serie A BSA Atletico Mineiro Botafogo 1 0 L 03/09/23 Brazil Serie A BSA Flamengo Botafogo 2 1 L 30/08/23 Copa Sudamericana SUD Defensa y Justicia Botafogo 2 1 L 27/08/23 Brazil Serie A BSA EC Bahia Botafogo 0 3 W
Head to Head
Last Five - Guarani Asuncion
Last Five - Botafogo
These may be some of the best stats regarding the upcoming Guarani – Botafogo match. Now, let us take a look at the odds and probabilities of the game.
Guarani odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
Draw odds: 26/10 (3.60) – 27.8%
Botafogo odds: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
Botafogo are the fancied winners with a probability of 50.0%. It seems the chances for the game to end in a draw and for Guarani to win are pretty similar. Both these outcomes stand at 28.6% and 27.8% probability right now. Another choice to consider for this Copa Sudamericana round of 16 clash would be over 2.5 goals, which is given a price of 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%.
Guarani vs Botafogo Prediction: Team News, Line-Ups, & Form
Guarani:
Guarani took a very early lead in Brazil last week. They struggled to protect their box in the second half though and ended up losing 1-2. The Paraguayans have never overcome a first-leg deficit to progress in Copa Libertadores or Copa Sudamericana so far in the 21st century. This will weigh on them a lot.
Guarani's mood hardly got better on Sunday when they lost 3-5 in a domestic match vs Olimpia. Attacked well but defensively looked dreadful once more.
Both Marin and Prieto, regular starters in midfield when fully fit, are unlikely to feature. They train again but after many months of absence, both seem to lack match sharpness.
Predicted Line-Up:
Munoz (GK), Caceres, Moya, Riveros, Salomoni, Moreira, Martinez, Gallardo, Camacho, Santander & Barcelo
Botafogo:
Botafogo came from behind to win 2-1 in the first leg last week. Converted penalty in the final minute by the in-form striker Tiquinho Soares brought the win. Tiquinho has now scored 4 goals in just the last 4 games and he's the most dangerous Botafogo forward right now.
The influential full-back Rafael is out injured. There is better news for Pires and Henrique though. Both are back training and have a chance to at least make the bench.
Predicted Line-Up:
Fernandez (GK), Di Placido, Cuesta, Adryelson, Hugo, Tche Tche, Freitas, Fernandes, Eduardo, Sa & Janderson
Starting Botafogo vs Guarani Lineups:
Starting lineups are usually released 60 minutes before kick-off.
Guarani Asuncion
Botafogo
Player to Watch: Tiquinho Soares
Tiquinho Soares has been the go-to-man so far this season when Botafogo go forward. The 32-year-old has been able to grab 13 goals in just 17 league appearances. He has 3 Copa Sudamericana goals to his name, including the winner in the first leg between the sides.
With a lot of spaces for fast breaks expected to open for Botafogo as Guarani chase the game, we can see Tiquinho causing problems once more.