Bayern Munich vs Lazio prediction, odds & betting tips 05/03/2024

05/03/24 - 20:00

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Bayern Munich - Lazio

UEFA Champions League - Allianz Arena

4th Round

Bayern Munch and Lazio are set to go head to head in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie on Tuesday, 5 March. Lazio take a 1-0 lead into the second leg at the Allianz Arena and with Bayern struggling for form domestically, the Italians will fancy their chances of completing the shock victory. Check out our free betting tips and full Bayern Munich vs Lazio prediction below.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio prediction: Can Sarri complete the Italian Job?

Key stats

• Bayern Munich beat Lazio 6-2 on aggregate in the 2021/22 Champions League round of 16.
• Bayern Munich have won 12 of their last 14 round of 16 ties.
• Harry Kane has scored five goals in his last seven appearances for Bayern Munich.
• Lazio have only qualified for the Champions League quarter-finals once in their history.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern backed to complete the comeback

• HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
• DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
• AWAY: 12/1 (13.0) – 7.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Bayern Munich vs Lazio odds indicate that this match should be very comfortable for Thomas Tuchel's side. When you consider Bayern's recent form, coupled with the fact that Tuchel has effectively already been fired, there is some value to be had on a draw or a Lazio win.

Despite that, Lazio aren't in great form themselves. Sarri's men have lost their last two Serie A fixtures and are languishing in 9th place in the Italian top flight. If things don't go well in Bavaria on Tuesday night, then this could quite easily be their last match in European competition for at least a couple of years.

In terms of other Champions League predictions and specifically Bayern Munich vs Lazio betting tips, draw/Lazio double chance is priced at 3/1 (4.00) while over 2.5 goals is priced at 4/7 (1.57). 

Last five H2Hs: Advantage Bayern

Bayern and Lazio have only ever played each other on three previous occasions, with each one coming in the Champions League round of 16. Bayern have won two out the three matches, with their only previous meeting in Munich finishing 2-1 in 2021. An identical result here would see the match go to extra time and perhaps even penalties with the away goals rule no longer in operation.

UEFA Champions League 14/02/24

Lazio

1

Bayern Munich

0

UEFA Champions League 17/03/21

Bayern Munich

2

Lazio

1

UEFA Champions League 23/02/21

Lazio

1

Bayern Munich

4

Bayern Munich preview: Can Harry Kane keep his trophy dreams alive?

Harry Kane's hopes of winning his first-ever trophy this season are hanging by a thread with Bayern now surely out of the title picture in Germany. For the match against Lazio, they are missing Upemacano due to suspension and the likes of Leroy Sane and Kingsley Coman due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Leimer, Dier, Kim, Davies, Kimmich, Goretzka, Gnabry, Muller, Musiala & Kane

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Borussia Dortmund

2

Bayern Munich

2

UEFA Champions League 08/04/25

L

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/04/25

W

Augsburg

1

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25

W

St Pauli

2

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

D

Union Berlin

1

Bayern Munich

1

Lazio preview: A chance to redeem a miserable season

After finishing 2nd in Serie A last season, Lazio have endured a torrid time in Serie A but if they can overcome Bayern on Tuesday then all will be forgiven. For the match on Tuesday, they will be without Rovella and Patric due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Hysaj, Cataldi, Guendouzi, Luis Alberto, Anderson, Immobile & Isaksen

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Roma

1

Lazio

1

UEFA Europa League 10/04/25

L

Bodo/Glimt

2

Lazio

0

Italy Serie A 06/04/25

W

Atalanta

0

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 31/03/25

D

Torino

1

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 16/03/25

L

Bologna

5

Lazio

0

Player to watch: Jamal Musiala

Lazio winger, Gustav Isaksen was the star of the show in the first leg but Thomas Tuchel needs his young winger, Jam Musiala, to respond with a similar performance of his own at the Allianz Arena on Tuesday.

The perfect night to find form

If Bayern fail to overturn their 1-0 deficit on Tuesday night then their season will over so the need the likes of Musiala to produce the goods. Last season he hit double digits for both goals and assists and to do that again this season, he will need a magical end to the season – exactly what Bayern need from him.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Bayern Munich

Ready for another special #UCL night at the Allianz Arena ??️#packmas #MiaSanMia #FCBLAZ pic.twitter.com/FxL8SuM2e2

— FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayernEN) March 5, 2024

Lazio

© Due anni senza Pino Wilson
♾ ETERNO CAPITANO pic.twitter.com/FWD5u0dYc5

— S.S.Lazio (@OfficialSSLazio) March 5, 2024