Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, odds and betting tips 09/11/2023

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Aston Villa and AZ Alkmaar clash at the Villa Park in a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday, November 9th. Aston Villa could move to the top of Group E with a victory over AZ in England this week. Read our Europa Conference League predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Today's Predictions for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar

Aston Villa are favourites to beat Dutch outfit AZ Alkmaar for the second time in Group E on Thursday evening. Read our top Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar predictions for this week’s fixture below.

Aston Villa to Win & Over 1.5 Goals

  • Aston Villa have won two and drawn one of their three Europa Conference League matches this season.
  • Villa have won three and drawn one of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • AZ Alkmaar were beaten in two of their first three assignments in Group E.
  • Aston Villa have won seven of their eight games on home soil this term.

Ollie Watkins to Score Anytime

  • Ollie Wakins managed to score when Villa beat AZ last month.
  • Watkins notched twice in his last four appearances for the Villains.
  • Watkins has scored six times in all competitions for Villa this season.
  • The 27-year-old striker is Villa’s top scorer this term.

Top Betting Odds and Stats for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar

View our directory of important stats for Thursday’s clash featuring Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar below alongside a tool to help you select the juiciest odds.

Stats to follow…

Let's take a closer look at the latest markets, Aston Villa – AZ Alkmaar odds and probability figures ahead of Thursday’s match below.

Aston Villa odds: 11/25 (1.44) – 69.4%

Draw odds: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

AZ Alkmaar odds: 29/5 (6.80) – 14.7%

Unsurprisingly, Aston Villa have been named as this week’s expected winners with the probability of a home victory currently listed at 69.4% at present. If you think an action-packed tussle is on the cards, then a bet on over 2.5 goals might be a tempting option at 4/6 (1.67), an outcome that has an implied probability of 60%. Elsewhere, backing the hosts to score first is an attractive option albeit at a modest price of 4/11 (1.36).

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Team News & Injuries

Read all of the latest injury updates, Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar lineups and team news for Thursday’s Europa Conference League battle below. If you’re looking for more of the best football betting tips today, make sure to follow the link.

Aston Villa

Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey and Jhon Duran are injured for Villa at present while Matty Cash is a slight doubt with a shoulder problem. Villa boss Unai Emery could make changes to his normal XI to keep things fresh.

Predicted Lineup for Aston Villa: Martinez – Cash, Carlos, Lenglet, Digne – Bailey, Kamara, Luiz, McGinn – Tielemans, Watkins

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have no confirmed absentees though Mees de Wit, Mexx Meerdink and Lewis Schouten are all carrying knocks and will need to be assessed closer to kick-off. AZ need a win to resurrect their qualification charge.

Predicted Lineup for AZ Alkmaar: Ryan – Sugawara, Bazoer, Penetra, Wolfe – de Wit, Clasie, Mijnans – Sadiq, van Brederode, Pavilidis

Player to Watch – Leon Bailey

Winger Leon Bailey ran AZ ragged when Aston Villa won 4-1 in Alkmaar last month and the Jamaican star’s blend of pace and skill could trouble the same defence in Thursday’s rematch. The 26-year-old has already chipped in with six goal contributions in all competitions for the Villains this season.

Starting Lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar prediction


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.